TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Schaniel vs Milosz Cesarz 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114119711611119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:35 and never touched — 79.1% is still 79.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
79.1%
79.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
114119711611119
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 12–4 Milosz Cesarz Milosz Cesarz has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1311 vs Cesarz 1113
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 20% vs Cesarz 40%
Cesarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 40% vs Cesarz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -4 · Cesarz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.49 / Cesarz 2.47
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Schaniel)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13193016
Schaniel1.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 187 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it89% 92 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it75% 141 of 188
Cesarz2.47
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 58 of 240
Down 0–1, comes back11% 19 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel8wins
AwayCesarz2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel85.7%6 of 7
AwayCesarz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel7Cesarz3n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S2Schaniel8Cesarz2n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S3Schaniel4Cesarz6n = 10Cesarz took 6 of 10
S4Schaniel4Cesarz4n = 8split evenly
S5Schaniel3Cesarz0n = 3Schaniel took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielCesarzS − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.233.5+6.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielCesarzBasisWin rate · lifetime858 / 1729 vs 144 / 52649.6%27.4%858 / 1729 vs 144 / 526Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.033.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.49/Cesarz 2.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.8%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 07:30K. Schaniel46111176113M. Cesarz4449111192
LAug 25 · 03:30K. Schaniel34117971M. Cesarz4071111113
WAug 24 · 21:30K. Schaniel46111158113M. Cesarz4055111182
WAug 21 · 21:00K. Schaniel52813911113M. Cesarz46111111762
WAug 21 · 16:35K. Schaniel331111113M. Cesarz248970
WMay 8 · 03:10K. Schaniel4011711113M. Cesarz28911171
WOct 29 · 08:10K. Schaniel3911116113M. Cesarz24641131
LOct 23 · 09:30K. Schaniel378111081M. Cesarz4011612113
WOct 13 · 00:20K. Schaniel331111113M. Cesarz248790
WSep 30 · 04:25K. Schaniel4291111113M. Cesarz25114191
K. Schaniel10
LSep 25 · 06:20K. Schaniel2.40811100K. Slawinski1.501113123LSep 24 · 13:55K. Schaniel2.506550O. Jadach1.501111113LSep 24 · 12:40K. Schaniel1.8011511642M. Jozefiak1.91911811113LSep 24 · 11:25K. Schaniel2.251161161L. Oracz1.5713114113WSep 24 · 10:10I. Szymanski3.0011111191K. Schaniel1.3613139113LSep 24 · 09:25K. Schaniel1.6171191192W. Urban2.20118119113WSep 24 · 07:45K. Schaniel1.36111111133I. Szymanski3.001376111WSep 24 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11117113M. Jozefiak—831161WSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142LSep 24 · 04:10O. Jadach1.5081112113K. Schaniel2.501191081
M. Cesarz10
LSep 25 · 05:55M. Adamus1.2312911113M. Cesarz3.801011661LSep 19 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.5010440J. Kaczmarek1.441211113LSep 19 · 06:45J. Pelka1.3014811113M. Cesarz3.251211481WSep 19 · 06:00W. Urban1.30431181M. Cesarz3.1511113113WSep 19 · 05:10M. Cesarz3.70511118113W. Pytlas1.1611981172LSep 19 · 04:00M. Cesarz—66100T. Lojtek—1111123LSep 15 · 08:20M. Cesarz2.4012590J. Kaczmarek1.471411113WSep 15 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.479880M. Cesarz2.501111113LSep 15 · 06:00W. Urban1.2891111113M. Cesarz3.15112791LSep 15 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.60118119102J. Nowak1.41711711123
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