TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Schaniel vs Oskar Jadach 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511511––––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 49 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 64.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 27–77 Oskar Jadach Krzysztof Schaniel has won 27 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-77 in 104
Jadach
Correct
gap of 50 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1323 vs Jadach 1400
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Jadach 80%
Jadach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 50% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -2 · Jadach +4
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 2.50 / Jadach 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Jadach)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13183285
Schaniel2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 175 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back29% 64 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back11% 13 of 119
Jadach1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 338 of 506
Up 2–0, closes it94% 159 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it85% 237 of 280
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel2wins
AwayJadach8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel25%1 of 4
AwayJadach83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S2Schaniel5Jadach5n = 10split evenly
S3Schaniel2Jadach8n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S4Schaniel4Jadach4n = 8split evenly
S5Schaniel0Jadach3n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielJadachS − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.6−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime859 / 1729 vs 795 / 132649.7%60%859 / 1729 vs 795 / 1326Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachSchaniel 2.50/Jadach 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 04:20K. Schaniel32911931O. Jadach3911611113
LSep 14 · 18:45K. Schaniel2595110O. Jadach351111133
WSep 1 · 22:55K. Schaniel45111013113O. Jadach292121141
LSep 1 · 16:55K. Schaniel35145881O. Jadach45121111113
LJul 19 · 10:10K. Schaniel4311117682O. Jadach51991111113
WJul 19 · 07:45K. Schaniel4071111113O. Jadach25116261
LJun 17 · 14:20K. Schaniel4711981182O. Jadach48811117113
LJun 17 · 06:20K. Schaniel501011101182O. Jadach45123127113
LMay 13 · 14:20K. Schaniel37614891O. Jadach45111211113
LMay 13 · 06:20K. Schaniel2371060O. Jadach341112113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 24 · 12:40K. Schaniel1.8011511642M. Jozefiak1.91911811113LSep 24 · 11:25K. Schaniel2.251161161L. Oracz1.5713114113WSep 24 · 10:10I. Szymanski3.0011111191K. Schaniel1.3613139113LSep 24 · 09:25K. Schaniel1.6171191192W. Urban2.20118119113WSep 24 · 07:45K. Schaniel1.36111111133I. Szymanski3.001376111WSep 24 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11117113M. Jozefiak—831161WSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142LSep 24 · 04:10O. Jadach1.5081112113K. Schaniel2.501191081LSep 24 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310490W. Urban2.001211113WSep 17 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.232970K. Schaniel1.531111113
O. Jadach10
WSep 24 · 13:05I. Szymanski4.335940O. Jadach1.201111113WSep 24 · 12:15O. Jadach1.6191111113W. Urban2.20116791WSep 24 · 10:35O. Jadach1.571111113L. Oracz2.257980WSep 24 · 09:50M. Jozefiak1.831110111192O. Jadach1.83612139113LSep 24 · 08:35O. Jadach1.911051161W. Urban1.8012118113WSep 24 · 06:55O. Jadach1.17511117113I. Szymanski4.5011981172LSep 24 · 05:40O. Jadach—111070M. Jozefiak—1312113WSep 24 · 04:10O. Jadach1.5081112113K. Schaniel2.501191081LSep 24 · 03:00O. Jadach1.61691131L. Oracz2.2011116113LSep 22 · 13:55O. Jadach1.57119361M. Skuril2.2581111113
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