TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Sydorenko vs Vitalii Kaganovych 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119118––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Sydorenko above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 68.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Sydorenko 22–63 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Sydorenko has won 22 of their 85 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:35What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kaganovych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-63 in 85
Kaganovych
Wrong
gap of 41 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1299 vs Kaganovych 1409
Kaganovych
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 40% vs Kaganovych 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 40% vs Kaganovych 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko -2 · Kaganovych -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 2.63 / Kaganovych 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kaganovych)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191054
Sydorenko2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 87 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Kaganovych1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 127 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 89 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko3wins
AwayKaganovych7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKaganovych leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko60%3 of 5
AwayKaganovych100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorenko3Kaganovych7n = 10Kaganovych took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko8Kaganovych2n = 10Sydorenko took 8 of 10
S4Sydorenko4Kaganovych5n = 9Kaganovych took 5 of 9
S5Sydorenko1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoKaganovychS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.446.1−3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 572 vs 339 / 55443.7%61.2%250 / 572 vs 339 / 554Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychSydorenko 2.63/Kaganovych 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 18:05V. Sydorenko4011712372V. Kaganovych507111011113
WSep 11 · 19:35V. Sydorenko49151111123V. Kaganovych4413138101
LSep 8 · 18:35V. Sydorenko47126131152V. Kaganovych551411118113
LSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko325111061V. Kaganovych4111712113
WAug 18 · 14:05V. Sydorenko351111133V. Kaganovych2357110
LAug 17 · 12:35V. Sydorenko4281211382V. Kaganovych471110411113
LAug 11 · 18:35V. Sydorenko48119111162V. Kaganovych53131199113
LAug 3 · 19:05V. Sydorenko29116391V. Kaganovych4291111113
WJul 28 · 18:55V. Sydorenko51137119113V. Kaganovych50111181192
LJul 14 · 13:25V. Sydorenko51714111182V. Kaganovych56111699113
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 25 · 18:35D. Boltenkov1.501571071V. Sydorenko2.50131112113WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472WSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko1.8081111113A. Azarov1.91115761LSep 25 · 15:05V. Sydorenko2.20311111182V. Chumak1.61111393113LSep 24 · 19:05F. Chashchin1.67111011113V. Sydorenko2.10412841LSep 24 · 18:05V. Slabyshev1.6711117113V. Sydorenko2.10691181WSep 24 · 16:35V. Leonov1.531264111V. Sydorenko2.38101111133LSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov1.5311116113V. Sydorenko2.38991151WSep 24 · 12:35A. Azarov1.83101211892V. Sydorenko1.831210711113WSep 23 · 19:55V. Chumak1.614111111122V. Sydorenko2.20111379143
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 25 · 19:35V. Husiev4.00781171V. Kaganovych1.2211115113WSep 25 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.2581111103A. Azarov3.75118751WSep 25 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911181341V. Kaganovych1.809111583LSep 25 · 14:05D. Boltenkov2.5091112113V. Kaganovych1.501191051LSep 22 · 19:25V. Kaganovych2.1011101181V. Sharpai1.6771213113LSep 22 · 17:55V. Kaganovych2.1011861262A. Yakovenko1.676111110113WSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191LSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882
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