TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Kaganovych vs Artem Azarov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118117105––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kaganovych to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kaganovych above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-5
Point 71 set 4, 10-5 — our read held Vitalii Kaganovych at 77.8%
71 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kaganovych 1–0 Artem Azarov Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kaganovych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kaganovych 1404 vs Azarov 1193
Kaganovych
Correct
both rated, 211 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaganovych 20% vs Azarov 40%
Azarov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaganovych 40% vs Azarov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaganovych +1 · Azarov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kaganovych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaganovych 1.25 / Azarov 3.75
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kaganovych)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13191270
Kaganovych1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 127 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it96% 64 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 89 of 107
Azarov3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 11 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKaganovych1wins
AwayAzarov0wins
Kaganovych leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKaganovychAzarovK − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.012.0+21.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaganovychAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 551 vs 17 / 5161%33.3%336 / 551 vs 17 / 51Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaganovychKaganovych 1.25/Azarov 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Kaganovych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych331111113A. Azarov122370
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 25 · 19:35V. Husiev4.00781171V. Kaganovych1.2211115113WSep 25 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911181341V. Kaganovych1.809111583LSep 25 · 14:05D. Boltenkov2.5091112113V. Kaganovych1.501191051LSep 25 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113V. Kaganovych1.449980LSep 22 · 19:25V. Kaganovych2.1011101181V. Sharpai1.6771213113LSep 22 · 17:55V. Kaganovych2.1011861262A. Yakovenko1.676111110113WSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113WSep 22 · 13:25V. Kaganovych1.6711128113A. Lifanov2.106101191LSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882
A. Azarov10
LSep 25 · 19:05V. Chumak1.28111011123A. Azarov3.509126101LSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko1.8081111113A. Azarov1.91115761WSep 25 · 14:35V. Husiev1.571151271A. Azarov2.25131110113LSep 25 · 12:35D. Boltenkov1.301111123A. Azarov3.4068100WSep 24 · 18:35A. Azarov1.9191611113V. Leonov1.801114591LSep 24 · 17:05A. Azarov3.00167111172F. Chashchin1.36181123113LSep 24 · 15:35A. Azarov2.632630D. Boltenkov1.441111113LSep 24 · 14:05A. Azarov2.2011440V. Slabyshev1.611311113LSep 24 · 12:35A. Azarov1.83101211892V. Sydorenko1.831210711113WSep 18 · 19:05D. Boltenkov1.301661191A. Azarov3.4018116113
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