TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Denys Boltenkov vs Vitalii Sydorenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
15137111012711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltenkov to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Boltenkov above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Denys Boltenkov at 63.7%
86 points played in total.
H2H Denys Boltenkov 4–2 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boltenkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Boltenkov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boltenkov 1336 vs Sydorenko 1328
Boltenkov
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boltenkov 60% vs Sydorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boltenkov 60% vs Sydorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boltenkov -1 · Sydorenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Boltenkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoltenkov 1.50 / Sydorenko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Boltenkov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13191416
Boltenkov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 20 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Sydorenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 87 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBoltenkov4wins
AwaySydorenko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderBoltenkov leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoltenkov80%4 of 5
AwaySydorenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boltenkov5Sydorenko1n = 6Boltenkov took 5 of 6
S2Boltenkov2Sydorenko4n = 6Sydorenko took 4 of 6
S3Boltenkov2Sydorenko4n = 6Sydorenko took 4 of 6
S4Boltenkov4Sydorenko1n = 5Boltenkov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBoltenkovSydorenkoB − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.737.2+2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoltenkovSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 49 vs 253 / 57653.1%43.9%26 / 49 vs 253 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltenkovBoltenkov 1.50/Sydorenko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Boltenkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov3911116113V. Sydorenko34991151
LSep 17 · 18:05D. Boltenkov259790V. Sydorenko331111113
WSep 3 · 19:35D. Boltenkov44111111113V. Sydorenko32713481
WAug 27 · 18:55D. Boltenkov4211119113V. Sydorenko32841191
LAug 26 · 14:05D. Boltenkov4111831182V. Sydorenko47511119113
WAug 21 · 15:35D. Boltenkov471141110113V. Sydorenko4571171282
D. Boltenkov10
LSep 25 · 17:05D. Boltenkov1.8313117582V. Chumak1.831151111113WSep 25 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.831112113V. Husiev1.8391090WSep 25 · 14:05D. Boltenkov2.5091112113V. Kaganovych1.501191051WSep 25 · 12:35D. Boltenkov1.301111123A. Azarov3.4068100LSep 24 · 19:35D. Boltenkov2.2044100V. Slabyshev1.611111123LSep 24 · 17:35V. Leonov2.25711811113D. Boltenkov1.5711611982WSep 24 · 15:35A. Azarov2.632630D. Boltenkov1.441111113WSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov1.5311116113V. Sydorenko2.38991151WSep 24 · 13:35F. Chashchin1.91116841D. Boltenkov1.8081111113LSep 18 · 19:05D. Boltenkov1.301661191A. Azarov3.4018116113
V. Sydorenko10
WSep 25 · 17:35V. Sydorenko1.7312111011113V. Husiev2.00101312472WSep 25 · 16:35V. Sydorenko1.8081111113A. Azarov1.91115761LSep 25 · 15:05V. Sydorenko2.20311111182V. Chumak1.61111393113WSep 25 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113V. Kaganovych1.449980LSep 24 · 19:05F. Chashchin1.67111011113V. Sydorenko2.10412841LSep 24 · 18:05V. Slabyshev1.6711117113V. Sydorenko2.10691181WSep 24 · 16:35V. Leonov1.531264111V. Sydorenko2.38101111133LSep 24 · 14:35D. Boltenkov1.5311116113V. Sydorenko2.38991151WSep 24 · 12:35A. Azarov1.83101211892V. Sydorenko1.831210711113WSep 23 · 19:55V. Chumak1.614111111122V. Sydorenko2.20111379143
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