TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moshovskyi vs Ivan Pytsko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911511––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 58 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 66.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 4–10 Ivan Pytsko Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1542 vs Pytsko 1555
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 60% vs Pytsko 40%
Moshovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Pytsko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi +2 · Pytsko -3
Pytsko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 2.63 / Pytsko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13191042
Moshovskyi2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 32 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Pytsko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 70 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 54 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi3wins
AwayPytsko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayPytsko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Moshovskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Moshovskyi2Pytsko8n = 10Pytsko took 8 of 10
S4Moshovskyi3Pytsko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoM − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.837.9−4.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 334 vs 336 / 60255.1%55.8%184 / 334 vs 336 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMoshovskyi 2.63/Pytsko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi336116101I. Pytsko4211811123
LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi50111110992I. Pytsko51891211113
WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi4011117113I. Pytsko34971171
LSep 1 · 00:30V. Moshovskyi228770I. Pytsko331111113
LJul 18 · 02:45V. Moshovskyi163670I. Pytsko331111113
WJul 15 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi4111811113I. Pytsko34511991
LJul 11 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi238870I. Pytsko331111113
LFeb 25 · 10:25V. Moshovskyi4811129972I. Pytsko529101111113
WFeb 11 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi4291111113I. Pytsko34117791
LFeb 4 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi235990I. Pytsko331111113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 25 · 17:55D. Maltsev2.101371171V. Moshovskyi1.6715117113WSep 25 · 16:55V. Moshovskyi2.10311611113M. Potapov1.6711811792LSep 25 · 15:55V. Moshovskyi2.1011511492O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 25 · 14:25V. Moshovskyi1.61101070Y. Tebenko2.201212113WSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890WSep 21 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi1.731211113D. Maltsev2.0010990LSep 20 · 23:15V. Moshovskyi1.7311771492I. Fashchevskyi2.005111112113WSep 20 · 21:45V. Moshovskyi2.25931412113M. Potapov1.571111121062LSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123LSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 25 · 18:55M. Potapov2.10411791I. Pytsko1.6711911113LSep 25 · 17:25I. Pytsko2.201198111O. Storozhenko1.6121111133LSep 25 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.911211113I. Pytsko1.8010970LSep 25 · 13:25D. Maltsev3.00116711113I. Pytsko1.3691111732LSep 24 · 18:25Y. Tebenko1.831211117113I. Pytsko1.8314561192LSep 24 · 17:25O. Storozhenko1.731111113I. Pytsko2.003890LSep 24 · 15:55M. Potapov2.10116117113I. Pytsko1.6751181152WSep 24 · 13:55D. Maltsev2.7591060I. Pytsko1.401112113WSep 24 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00911811112I. Pytsko1.73119113133WSep 20 · 20:15V. Moshovskyi2.386116101I. Pytsko1.5311811123
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