TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Kucera vs Ludek Madle 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Kucera
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412112114––––
Ludek Madle
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLudek Madle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Kucera above · Ludek Madle below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ludek Madle at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kucera 4–5 Ludek Madle Tomas Kucera has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:02What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Madle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1192 vs Madle 1144
Kucera
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 80% vs Madle 60%
Kucera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 70% vs Madle 40%
Kucera
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera +4 · Madle -1
Kucera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Madle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 1.85 / Madle 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Madle)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13188273
Kucera1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Madle1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKucera4wins
AwayMadle5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderMadle leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucera66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadle66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera3Madle6n = 9Madle took 6 of 9
S2Kucera4Madle5n = 9Madle took 5 of 9
S3Kucera4Madle5n = 9Madle took 5 of 9
S4Kucera2Madle2n = 4split evenly
S5Kucera2Madle1n = 3Kucera took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricKuceraMadleK − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match33.336.6−3.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraMadleBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 209 vs 258 / 54749.3%47.2%103 / 209 vs 258 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadleKucera 1.85/Madle 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Madle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera3911611742L. Madle45711511113
WSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera45911311113L. Madle4011611842
WMay 11 · 07:00T. Kucera331111113L. Madle258890
WFeb 17 · 08:00T. Kucera381314113L. Madle31111280
WJan 15 · 09:30T. Kucera45831111123L. Madle45111185102
LJan 14 · 01:30T. Kucera2391040L. Madle341112113
LNov 11 · 07:30T. Kucera2578100L. Madle341111123
LJul 2 · 09:00T. Kucera30911911L. Madle4211911113
LJul 2 · 06:00T. Kucera228950L. Madle331111113
T. Kucera10
WSep 24 · 08:00T. Kucera1.731111113J. Pantak2.006130WSep 24 · 07:30J. Strnad3.7507110T. Kucera1.251111133LSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera2.0011611742L. Madle1.73711511113WSep 23 · 09:30T. Kucera2.35811413153L. Forman1.521191111132WSep 23 · 08:00L. Forman1.506990T. Kucera2.501111113LSep 23 · 07:00M. Smesny2.38111110113T. Kucera1.53891281WSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera1.73911311113L. Madle2.0011611842LAug 26 · 03:30T. Kucera1.60791171J. Grohsgott2.2011118113WAug 26 · 02:00T. Kucera2.6311311113J. Grohsgott1.44511491LAug 26 · 01:00T. Kucera2.101191051V. Stach1.6781112113
L. Madle10
LSep 24 · 08:30L. Madle1.4415780J. Strnad2.631711113WSep 24 · 07:00L. Madle1.531116113J. Pantak2.3821490WSep 24 · 06:00T. Kucera2.0011611742L. Madle1.73711511113WSep 23 · 08:58L. Madle1.361113133M. Smesny3.00911110WSep 23 · 08:30M. Smesny2.63551161L. Madle1.4411119113LSep 23 · 07:30L. Madle1.83111191082L. Forman1.83591112113LSep 23 · 06:30T. Kucera1.73911311113L. Madle2.0011611842LSep 21 · 08:58L. Madle1.5377111172J. Cernik2.38111176113WSep 21 · 08:30L. Madle1.611111113J. Cernik2.206490LSep 21 · 07:00L. Madle2.20911451M. Vaclavik1.6111411113
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