TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Miklukha vs Vladyslav Stukalov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleh Miklukha
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5119111816611––
Vladyslav Stukalov
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Vladyslav Stukalov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 87 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 61.2%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 33–59 Vladyslav Stukalov Oleh Miklukha has won 33 of their 92 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-59 in 92
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 26 in 92, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1164 vs Stukalov 1166
Stukalov
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 0% vs Stukalov 40%
Stukalov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 40% vs Stukalov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha -6 · Stukalov +2
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Stukalov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stukalov form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 2.38 / Stukalov 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Stukalov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185387
Miklukha2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Stukalov1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 84 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiklukha3wins
AwayStukalov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStukalov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiklukha60%3 of 5
AwayStukalov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miklukha5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S2Miklukha1Stukalov9n = 10Stukalov took 9 of 10
S3Miklukha5Stukalov5n = 10split evenly
S4Miklukha4Stukalov4n = 8split evenly
S5Miklukha1Stukalov2n = 3Stukalov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiklukhaStukalovM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.0−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaStukalovBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 443 vs 416 / 83946.7%49.6%207 / 443 vs 416 / 839Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovMiklukha 2.38/Stukalov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha229670V. Stukalov331111113
WSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha44111111113V. Stukalov25613421
LSep 1 · 11:05O. Miklukha32119751V. Stukalov4181111113
LAug 26 · 09:00O. Miklukha39981391V. Stukalov44111111113
LAug 19 · 07:00O. Miklukha31771161V. Stukalov4211119113
LAug 18 · 07:00O. Miklukha491171011102V. Stukalov44511124123
WAug 13 · 11:50O. Miklukha4115114113V. Stukalov391381171
LJul 28 · 09:00O. Miklukha48128111162V. Stukalov52141197113
WJul 20 · 07:00O. Miklukha50118119113V. Stukalov4351191172
LJun 22 · 07:35O. Miklukha3013980V. Stukalov371511113
O. Miklukha10
LSep 24 · 05:00O. Miklukha2.10511371M. Khalenko1.6711711113LSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:40O. Miklukha3.25117111162S. Hovorunets1.33811139113LSep 15 · 14:40O. Miklukha1.5715911101D. Khavanskyi2.2517116123LSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 15 · 11:10O. Miklukha2.104750S. Semenets1.671111113WSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421WSep 11 · 09:35O. Miklukha2.50911711113K. Riazanovskyi1.5011911682WSep 11 · 08:05O. Miklukha2.7511118113O. Mytsyk1.40381191WSep 11 · 06:35O. Miklukha2.0011811113D. Khavanskyi1.73911271
V. Stukalov10
WSep 24 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.00111310113S. Semenets1.738111291WSep 23 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.381111113D. Khavanskyi1.535340LSep 23 · 09:35V. Korniichuk1.331161110113V. Stukalov3.2541131272LSep 23 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.63851191M. Khalenko1.4411116113LSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101LSep 23 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.00411811S. Semenets1.7311811113LSep 22 · 16:40S. Semenets1.731411113V. Stukalov2.0012720LSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113WSep 15 · 13:10O. Miklukha2.209670V. Stukalov1.611111113LSep 11 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.25111111113V. Stukalov1.57613421
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