TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Tomas Petrek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111210311118119
Tomas Petrek
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched — 68.4% is still 68.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Petrek to win
68.4%
68.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Petrek at 68.4%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 1–6 Tomas Petrek Jakub Levicky has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Petrek beat Levicky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Petrek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Petrek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1569 vs Petrek 1593
Petrek
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Petrek 60%
Petrek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Petrek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Petrek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Petrek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.75 / Petrek 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Petrek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13184929
Levicky2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 59 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Petrek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLevicky1wins
AwayPetrek6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderPetrek leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPetrek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky1Petrek6n = 7Petrek took 6 of 7
S2Levicky4Petrek3n = 7Levicky took 4 of 7
S3Levicky1Petrek6n = 7Petrek took 6 of 7
S4Levicky1Petrek5n = 6Petrek took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away571%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricLevickyPetrekL − PBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match31.742.0−10.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 884 vs 108 / 21650.2%50%444 / 884 vs 108 / 216Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrekLevicky 2.75/Petrek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Petrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 23 · 16:30J. Levicky35811971T. Petrek4011711113
LApr 2 · 13:30J. Levicky28511841T. Petrek4211911113
LApr 2 · 11:30J. Levicky274111021T. Petrek4111712113
LMar 20 · 16:30J. Levicky355101191T. Petrek4311129113
LMar 17 · 22:30J. Levicky199640T. Petrek331111113
WMar 17 · 19:00J. Levicky52119613133T. Petrek539111111112
LMar 16 · 11:00J. Levicky26611451T. Petrek4211911113
J. Levicky10
LSep 23 · 16:30T. Petrek1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75811971WSep 23 · 15:30J. Levicky2.20461111123A. Walek1.61111189102WSep 23 · 14:30D. Heczko2.25611671J. Levicky1.5711511113LSep 20 · 13:00D. Langer2.63811811113J. Levicky1.4411511262LSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik1.501111113J. Levicky2.404870LSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113WSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113LSep 20 · 08:58J. Schwan1.441111113J. Levicky2.634830LSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113
T. Petrek10
WSep 23 · 16:30T. Petrek1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75811971WSep 23 · 15:00T. Petrek1.611115117153D. Heczko2.20517911132LSep 23 · 14:00A. Walek2.201111113T. Petrek1.619890LSep 10 · 21:06D. Unzeitig—713911113T. Petrek—111111232WSep 10 · 20:30D. Unzeitig1.53111081162T. Petrek2.38512117113LSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.6771111113T. Petrek2.10116791WSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113LSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101
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