TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Gajda vs Boguslaw Madej 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171171012119––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:10 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1171171012119––
H2H Rafal Gajda 25–10 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 10 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-10 in 35
Gajda
Correct
gap of 15 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1314 vs Madej 1260
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 40% vs Madej 60%
Madej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 40% vs Madej 70%
Madej
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Madej -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madej form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.50 / Madej 2.35
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Gajda)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13182360
Gajda1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 150 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Madej2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 47 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda5wins
AwayMadej5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadej57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda3Madej7n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S2Gajda5Madej5n = 10split evenly
S3Gajda6Madej4n = 10Gajda took 6 of 10
S4Gajda6Madej2n = 8Gajda took 6 of 8
S5Gajda1Madej3n = 4Madej took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaMadejG − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.9−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 832 vs 142 / 38751.3%36.7%427 / 832 vs 142 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.50/Madej 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 12:20R. Gajda46141011113B. Madej321212171
LSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda4791111972B. Madej51119911113
WJul 28 · 12:45R. Gajda4581111153B. Madej351165131
LJul 28 · 10:20R. Gajda189540B. Madej331111113
WJul 21 · 15:05R. Gajda3911611113B. Madej31811751
LJul 21 · 09:05R. Gajda43111121182B. Madej50713118113
LJul 7 · 15:30R. Gajda4381341172B. Madej491111115113
LJul 7 · 09:30R. Gajda204970B. Madej331111113
WMay 26 · 15:30R. Gajda4491211123B. Madej3911108101
WMay 26 · 09:30R. Gajda49712118113B. Madej46111061182
R. Gajda10
LSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162LSep 22 · 20:20R. Gajda1.858111171P. Kaczynski1.8011713113LSep 22 · 18:45M. Tkocz1.57611611113R. Gajda2.2011611942WSep 22 · 18:00W. Pytlas1.835460R. Gajda1.861111113LSep 22 · 17:10R. Gajda1.7413831192P. Kurek1.951111116113WSep 22 · 16:00R. Gajda1.298111213123K. Kowalski3.301161015102LSep 22 · 08:20R. Gajda2.60710100K. Hetnar1.411112123LSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113R. Gajda1.863290WSep 22 · 06:00I. Szymanski3.55126231R. Gajda1.18101111113
B. Madej10
LSep 23 · 07:30B. Madej2.45911311102O. Vincenec1.49117116123WSep 23 · 06:20B. Madej1.6617911113M. Rus2.101511791WSep 16 · 16:40B. Madej2.20712167123M. Sikon1.5711101411102LSep 16 · 15:05J. Pelka1.391111113B. Madej2.658780WSep 16 · 14:20M. Rus1.9911129752B. Madej1.678101111113LSep 16 · 13:30B. Madej3.2510550K. Hetnar1.271211113WSep 16 · 12:20B. Madej3.104111111113P. Kurek1.2911913972WSep 16 · 10:40B. Madej2.25111157113M. Sikon1.5884111112WSep 16 · 09:05J. Pelka1.399118121B. Madej2.6511411143WSep 16 · 08:20P. Kurek1.3171060B. Madej2.951112113
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda
Nothing scheduled
B. Madej
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