TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pawel Gola vs Dawid Stapor 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Pawel Gola
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171315511118511
Dawid Stapor
Away
1.69
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:36 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1171315511118511
H2H Pawel Gola 46–79 Dawid Stapor Pawel Gola has won 46 of their 125 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (55%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-79 in 125
Stapor
Correct
gap of 33 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1544 vs Stapor 1610
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 40% vs Stapor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 30% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola +1 · Stapor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.05 / Stapor 1.69
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Stapor)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13180642
Gola2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 70 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back12% 13 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Stapor1.69
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 162 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it99% 79 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it88% 121 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola4wins
AwayStapor6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola57.1%4 of 7
AwayStapor100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola7Stapor3n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S2Gola5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Gola4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Gola3Stapor4n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Gola1Stapor3n = 4Stapor took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaStaporG − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.5−1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime583 / 1193 vs 483 / 91148.9%53%583 / 1193 vs 483 / 911Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporGola 2.05/Stapor 1.69
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:30P. Gola45111351152D. Stapor52715118113
LSep 21 · 05:00P. Gola3712114642D. Stapor451021111113
WSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola4011711113D. Stapor29311961
LSep 16 · 13:10P. Gola32661191D. Stapor4011117113
WSep 16 · 07:00P. Gola45111137133D. Stapor46851111112
LSep 11 · 12:00P. Gola228680D. Stapor331111113
LSep 9 · 08:00P. Gola361161181D. Stapor4491113113
WSep 2 · 10:00P. Gola361114113D. Stapor2351260
LSep 1 · 11:00P. Gola45101141282D. Stapor531291110113
WAug 28 · 13:40P. Gola331111113D. Stapor209560
P. Gola10
LSep 23 · 07:00M. Galus1.441111113P. Gola2.504750WSep 21 · 12:30S. Radlo2.106680P. Gola1.661111113LSep 21 · 11:30B. Molka2.051112711113P. Gola1.66910111382LSep 21 · 10:30S. Radlo1.951111113P. Gola1.746980WSep 21 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.30111561392P. Gola1.558131115113LSep 21 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.6811611113P. Gola2.05711971LSep 21 · 05:00D. Stapor1.511021111113P. Gola2.4012114642LSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola—4990S. Radlo—1111113LSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola1.957960M. Lysakowski1.761111113LSep 20 · 19:35P. Gola2.2071181182M. Stepien1.57119115113
D. Stapor10
LSep 23 · 05:00S. Radlo2.1011911123D. Stapor1.604119101WSep 22 · 13:10S. Radlo1.65881191D. Stapor2.1011117113LSep 22 · 11:00B. Molka2.251111113D. Stapor1.575980WSep 22 · 10:00D. Stapor1.6051211133S. Wloszek2.2011107111LSep 22 · 09:00D. Stapor2.10129961M. Lysakowski1.66101111113LSep 22 · 07:30D. Stapor1.50713118122S. Radlo2.401111611143WSep 22 · 05:30D. Stapor1.88113711113M. Stepien1.8291111672WSep 21 · 13:30D. Stapor2.0512117113M. Lysakowski1.701061151WSep 21 · 11:00D. Stapor1.8312117113S. Wloszek1.871081151WSep 21 · 05:00D. Stapor1.511021111113P. Gola2.4012114642
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