TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Szymon Radlo vs Dawid Stapor 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Szymon Radlo
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811117911––
Dawid Stapor
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
811811117911––
H2H Szymon Radlo 32–32 Dawid Stapor Dead even across their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Radlo beat Stapor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Radlo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadlo 1.65 / Stapor 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Radlo)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13177713
Radlo1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 102 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 87 of 114
Stapor2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 41 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRadlo7wins
AwayStapor3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRadlo71.4%5 of 7
AwayStapor33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Radlo7Stapor3n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Radlo5Stapor5n = 10split evenly
S3Radlo6Stapor4n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S4Radlo6Stapor1n = 7Radlo took 6 of 7
S5Radlo1Stapor2n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRadloStaporR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.440.6+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadloStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 775 vs 484 / 91149.6%53.1%384 / 775 vs 484 / 911Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadloRadlo 1.65/Stapor 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Radlo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 07:30S. Radlo531111611143D. Stapor51713118122
LSep 21 · 06:30S. Radlo238960D. Stapor331111113
WSep 16 · 06:00S. Radlo351311113D. Stapor2811980
WSep 15 · 09:30S. Radlo341111123D. Stapor2789100
LSep 8 · 06:30S. Radlo4514651552D. Stapor5812111113113
WSep 5 · 10:05S. Radlo47131211113D. Stapor401510871
LAug 28 · 05:00S. Radlo511171111112D. Stapor53911713133
WAug 27 · 09:00S. Radlo4481111143D. Stapor381196121
WAug 23 · 20:05S. Radlo4314117113D. Stapor391281181
WAug 21 · 13:00S. Radlo3911413113D. Stapor399111181
S. Radlo10
LSep 22 · 11:30S. Radlo2.37113381M. Lysakowski1.5251111113LSep 22 · 09:30B. Molka1.651111113S. Radlo2.109990WSep 22 · 08:30S. Radlo2.351191311113M. Stepien1.5281115672WSep 22 · 07:30D. Stapor1.50713118122S. Radlo2.401111611143LSep 22 · 06:00S. Radlo1.919119101S. Wloszek1.8011811123LSep 21 · 12:30S. Radlo2.106680P. Gola1.661111113LSep 21 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.391111123S. Radlo2.8086100WSep 21 · 10:30S. Radlo1.951111113P. Gola1.746980LSep 21 · 08:30B. Molka1.831312113S. Radlo1.83111070LSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960
D. Stapor10
LSep 22 · 11:00B. Molka2.251111113D. Stapor1.575980WSep 22 · 10:00D. Stapor1.6051211133S. Wloszek2.2011107111LSep 22 · 09:00D. Stapor2.10129961M. Lysakowski1.66101111113LSep 22 · 07:30D. Stapor1.50713118122S. Radlo2.401111611143WSep 22 · 05:30D. Stapor1.88113711113M. Stepien1.8291111672WSep 21 · 13:30D. Stapor2.0512117113M. Lysakowski1.701061151WSep 21 · 11:00D. Stapor1.8312117113S. Wloszek1.871081151WSep 21 · 09:30D. Stapor1.571113113B. Molka2.2091190WSep 21 · 08:00D. Stapor2.25111212113M. Lysakowski1.579101451WSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960
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