TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dawid Stapor vs Szymon Radlo 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71113111168111214
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:46 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
71113111168111214
H2H Dawid Stapor 32–32 Szymon Radlo Dead even across their 64 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-32 in 64
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1614 vs Radlo 1516
Stapor
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 100% vs Radlo 20%
Stapor
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 90% vs Radlo 40%
Stapor
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +8 · Radlo -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.50 / Radlo 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Stapor)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13174759
Stapor1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 165 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it99% 83 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it88% 125 of 142
Radlo2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 169 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor3wins
AwayRadlo7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRadlo leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor33.3%1 of 3
AwayRadlo71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S2Stapor5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor4Radlo6n = 10Radlo took 6 of 10
S4Stapor1Radlo6n = 7Radlo took 6 of 7
S5Stapor2Radlo1n = 3Stapor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporRadloS − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.641.4−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 910 vs 383 / 77253.1%49.6%483 / 910 vs 383 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.50/Radlo 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Radlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 07:30D. Stapor51713118122S. Radlo531111611143
WSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor331111113S. Radlo238960
LSep 16 · 06:00D. Stapor2811980S. Radlo351311113
LSep 15 · 09:30D. Stapor2789100S. Radlo341111123
WSep 8 · 06:30D. Stapor5812111113113S. Radlo4514651552
LSep 5 · 10:05D. Stapor401510871S. Radlo47131211113
WAug 28 · 05:00D. Stapor53911713133S. Radlo511171111112
LAug 27 · 09:00D. Stapor381196121S. Radlo4481111143
LAug 23 · 20:05D. Stapor391281181S. Radlo4314117113
LAug 21 · 13:00D. Stapor399111181S. Radlo3911413113
D. Stapor10
LSep 22 · 09:00D. Stapor2.10129961M. Lysakowski1.66101111113WSep 22 · 05:30D. Stapor1.88113711113M. Stepien1.8291111672WSep 21 · 13:30D. Stapor2.0512117113M. Lysakowski1.701061151WSep 21 · 11:00D. Stapor1.8312117113S. Wloszek1.871081151WSep 21 · 09:30D. Stapor1.571113113B. Molka2.2091190WSep 21 · 08:00D. Stapor2.25111212113M. Lysakowski1.579101451WSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960WSep 21 · 05:00D. Stapor1.511021111113P. Gola2.4012114642WSep 19 · 14:05M. Galus1.83811491D. Stapor1.8911711113LSep 19 · 13:05S. Wloszek2.00111011113D. Stapor1.66212781
S. Radlo10
LSep 22 · 09:30B. Molka1.651111113S. Radlo2.109990LSep 22 · 06:00S. Radlo1.919119101S. Wloszek1.8011811123LSep 21 · 12:30S. Radlo2.106680P. Gola1.661111113LSep 21 · 12:00M. Lysakowski1.391111123S. Radlo2.8086100WSep 21 · 10:30S. Radlo1.951111113P. Gola1.746980LSep 21 · 08:30B. Molka1.831312113S. Radlo1.83111070LSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960LSep 21 · 05:30S. Wloszek2.1011611113S. Radlo1.66711661WSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola—4990S. Radlo—1111113WSep 20 · 22:05B. Molka1.669911131S. Radlo2.1011117153
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