TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012211114116114
Pawel Gola
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1012211114116114
H2H Dawid Stapor 77–46 Pawel Gola Pawel Gola has won 46 of their 123 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
77-46 in 123
Stapor
Correct
gap of 31 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1545 vs Gola 1590
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 40% vs Gola 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 30% vs Gola 60%
Gola
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +1 · Gola -3
Gola
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.51 / Gola 2.40
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Stapor)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13166323
Stapor1.51
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 163 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it99% 82 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it88% 124 of 141
Gola2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back13% 14 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayGola5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor100%4 of 4
AwayGola83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Stapor5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S4Stapor3Gola2n = 5Stapor took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporGolaS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.734.2−0.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 905 vs 585 / 119252.9%49.1%479 / 905 vs 585 / 1192Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.51/Gola 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 11:00D. Stapor29311961P. Gola4011711113
WSep 16 · 13:10D. Stapor4011117113P. Gola32661191
LSep 16 · 07:00D. Stapor46851111112P. Gola45111137133
WSep 11 · 12:00D. Stapor331111113P. Gola228680
WSep 9 · 08:00D. Stapor4491113113P. Gola361161181
LSep 2 · 10:00D. Stapor2351260P. Gola361114113
WSep 1 · 11:00D. Stapor531291110113P. Gola45101141282
LAug 28 · 13:40D. Stapor209560P. Gola331111113
LAug 28 · 07:00D. Stapor164840P. Gola331111113
WAug 23 · 17:05D. Stapor331111113P. Gola204880
D. Stapor10
WSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960WSep 19 · 14:05M. Galus1.83811491D. Stapor1.8911711113LSep 19 · 13:05S. Wloszek2.00111011113D. Stapor1.66212781WSep 19 · 11:35D. Stapor2.101111113M. Stepien1.606890LSep 19 · 09:35M. Galus1.801111113D. Stapor1.903690LSep 19 · 07:35M. Ovcharenko1.3911911113D. Stapor2.80611711WSep 19 · 06:35D. Skvarskyi1.4191460D. Stapor2.601116113LSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181LSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola2.0511711113D. Stapor1.68311961LSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113
P. Gola10
LSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola—4990S. Radlo—1111113LSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola1.957960M. Lysakowski1.761111113LSep 20 · 19:35P. Gola2.2071181182M. Stepien1.57119115113WSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671WSep 20 · 16:35P. Gola1.60111311113S. Radlo2.10615981WSep 20 · 15:05P. Gola1.391711113S. Wloszek2.8015880WSep 18 · 13:40M. Stepien1.405480P. Gola2.751111113WSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola2.0511711113D. Stapor1.68311961LSep 18 · 09:30P. Gola2.8012541152M. Stepien1.391011117113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Gola2.0511138113M. Lysakowski1.666111181
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