TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159110
Played Sep 19Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118119––––
Marcin Stepien
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
116118119––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 99–80 Marcin Stepien Marcin Stepien has won 80 of their 179 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Stepien)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 2.10 / Stepien 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Stepien)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13159110
Stapor2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Stepien1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 191 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it94% 129 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor3wins
AwayStepien7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaporn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStepien87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor2Stepien8n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S2Stapor4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S3Stapor4Stepien6n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Stapor4Stepien3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5Stapor1Stepien2n = 3Stepien took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporStepienStapor − StepienBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.541.3−7.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporStepienBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 902 vs 654 / 117452.9%55.7%477 / 902 vs 654 / 1174Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StepienStapor 2.10/Stepien 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.6%
Stepien · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 07:30D. Stapor27761131M. Stepien4211119113
LSep 6 · 17:35D. Stapor186570M. Stepien331111113
WSep 1 · 05:00D. Stapor52111811123M. Stepien489209101
LAug 27 · 11:00D. Stapor218490M. Stepien331111113
WAug 23 · 16:35D. Stapor46851111113M. Stepien4211117852
LAug 21 · 05:00D. Stapor4061241172M. Stepien511110118113
LAug 18 · 05:00D. Stapor184950M. Stepien331111113
LJul 29 · 13:40D. Stapor27512731M. Stepien43111011113
LJul 29 · 11:30D. Stapor4361213572M. Stepien5411101111113
WJul 28 · 11:00D. Stapor43111110113M. Stepien34991241
D. Stapor10
LSep 19 · 13:05S. Wloszek2.00111011113D. Stapor1.66212781LSep 19 · 09:35M. Galus1.801111113D. Stapor1.903690LSep 19 · 07:35M. Ovcharenko1.3911911113D. Stapor2.80611711WSep 19 · 06:35D. Skvarskyi1.4191460D. Stapor2.601116113LSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181LSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola2.0511711113D. Stapor1.68311961LSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113LSep 18 · 09:00D. Stapor2.001191081M. Galus1.7091112113LSep 18 · 07:30D. Stapor2.00761131M. Stepien1.6611119113LSep 18 · 05:30D. Stapor2.37118111482D. Skvarskyi1.52711616113
M. Stepien10
WSep 19 · 13:35M. Stepien1.9814118113S. Wloszek1.731251131LSep 19 · 12:35M. Galus1.601111113M. Stepien2.208930LSep 19 · 10:05D. Skvarskyi1.431111113M. Stepien2.437750WSep 19 · 08:05S. Wloszek2.504490M. Stepien1.471111113WSep 19 · 06:05M. Ovcharenko1.58117281M. Stepien2.2581111113LSep 18 · 13:40M. Stepien1.405480P. Gola2.751111113WSep 18 · 11:30M. Stepien2.05117119113M. Galus1.6691171182WSep 18 · 09:30P. Gola2.8012541152M. Stepien1.391011117113WSep 18 · 08:30M. Stepien2.501111113D. Skvarskyi1.405580WSep 18 · 07:30D. Stapor2.00761131M. Stepien1.6611119113
Upcoming Matches
D. Stapor
M. Stepien
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