TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158144
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksim Ovcharenko
Home
1.39
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911117111––
Dawid Stapor
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
116911117111––
H2H Maksim Ovcharenko 9–7 Dawid Stapor Dawid Stapor has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Ovcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvcharenko 1.39 / Stapor 2.80
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Ovcharenko)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13158144
Ovcharenko1.39
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 49 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Stapor2.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 38 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvcharenko5wins
AwayStapor5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvcharenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayStapor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovcharenko6Stapor4n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Ovcharenko6Stapor4n = 10Ovcharenko took 6 of 10
S3Ovcharenko4Stapor6n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Ovcharenko4Stapor1n = 5Ovcharenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvcharenkoStaporO − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.433.6+0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvcharenkoStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 204 vs 479 / 90462.3%53%127 / 204 vs 479 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvcharenkoOvcharenko 1.39/Stapor 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Ovcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ovcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko25611441D. Stapor3911611113
WSep 15 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko4413119113D. Stapor401191191
WSep 11 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko331111113D. Stapor219840
LSep 11 · 06:00M. Ovcharenko30111270D. Stapor381314113
WSep 8 · 11:00M. Ovcharenko4291111113D. Stapor34116891
WSep 6 · 21:35M. Ovcharenko331111113D. Stapor183960
WFeb 25 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko331111113D. Stapor187830
LFeb 24 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko137510D. Stapor331111113
LFeb 19 · 13:30M. Ovcharenko50111181192D. Stapor50713118113
LFeb 19 · 08:00M. Ovcharenko4111851162D. Stapor45511117113
M. Ovcharenko10
LSep 19 · 06:05M. Ovcharenko1.58117281M. Stepien2.2581111113WSep 16 · 13:40M. Burkacki2.87781281M. Ovcharenko1.37111110113LSep 16 · 11:00B. Molka2.50112126113M. Ovcharenko1.46511101182LSep 16 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.33611441D. Stapor3.1011611113WSep 16 · 09:00M. Ovcharenko1.391111113S. Radlo2.802920WSep 16 · 07:30M. Ovcharenko1.2711912113P. Gola3.095111031WSep 16 · 05:30M. Ovcharenko1.291111113M. Burkacki3.309950WSep 15 · 13:10M. Ovcharenko1.471116113B. Molka2.5041480WSep 15 · 12:00M. Ovcharenko1.3411116113M. Burkacki3.00231191WSep 15 · 10:00B. Molka2.20121111552M. Ovcharenko1.60147811113
D. Stapor10
WSep 19 · 06:35D. Skvarskyi1.4191460D. Stapor2.601116113LSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181LSep 18 · 11:00P. Gola2.0511711113D. Stapor1.68311961LSep 18 · 10:00D. Stapor2.20691171M. Lysakowski1.5711116113LSep 18 · 09:00D. Stapor2.001191081M. Galus1.7091112113LSep 18 · 07:30D. Stapor2.00761131M. Stepien1.6611119113LSep 18 · 05:30D. Stapor2.37118111482D. Skvarskyi1.52711616113WSep 16 · 13:10P. Gola2.14661191D. Stapor1.6411117113LSep 16 · 12:00D. Stapor1.546811121M. Burkacki2.2511114143WSep 16 · 10:00M. Ovcharenko1.33611441D. Stapor3.1011611113
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