TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13159680
Played Sep 19Finished
Marcin Stepien
Home
1.98
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412115811113––
Sylwester Wloszek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1412115811113––
H2H Marcin Stepien 83–35 Sylwester Wloszek Sylwester Wloszek has won 35 of their 118 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Stepien beat Wloszek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wloszek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStepien 1.98 / Wloszek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wloszek)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13159680
Stepien1.98
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Wloszek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 53 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStepien7wins
AwayWloszek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStepien leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStepien60%3 of 5
AwayWloszek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stepien5Wloszek5n = 10split evenly
S2Stepien8Wloszek2n = 10Stepien took 8 of 10
S3Stepien6Wloszek4n = 10Stepien took 6 of 10
S4Stepien4Wloszek3n = 7Stepien took 4 of 7
S5Stepien3Wloszek2n = 5Stepien took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStepienWloszekS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.836.5+7.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStepienWloszekBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1176 vs 471 / 106655.6%44.2%654 / 1176 vs 471 / 1066Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloszekStepien 1.98/Wloszek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wloszek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stepien won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 08:05M. Stepien331111113S. Wloszek174490
WSep 17 · 12:00M. Stepien45101113113S. Wloszek341251161
WSep 14 · 08:30M. Stepien50891111113S. Wloszek4311119572
WSep 13 · 19:05M. Stepien49912116113S. Wloszek42111051152
LSep 10 · 09:00M. Stepien541111814102S. Wloszek561381112123
WSep 6 · 23:05M. Stepien331111113S. Wloszek148330
WSep 6 · 20:05M. Stepien52911911123S. Wloszek46118116102
WAug 27 · 08:00M. Stepien331111113S. Wloszek208930
LAug 25 · 10:00M. Stepien48111110972S. Wloszek49961211113
LAug 20 · 06:00M. Stepien4111119101S. Wloszek4481311123
M. Stepien10
LSep 19 · 12:35M. Galus1.601111113M. Stepien2.208930LSep 19 · 11:35D. Stapor2.101111113M. Stepien1.606890LSep 19 · 10:05D. Skvarskyi1.431111113M. Stepien2.437750WSep 19 · 08:05S. Wloszek2.504490M. Stepien1.471111113WSep 19 · 06:05M. Ovcharenko1.58117281M. Stepien2.2581111113LSep 18 · 13:40M. Stepien1.405480P. Gola2.751111113WSep 18 · 11:30M. Stepien2.05117119113M. Galus1.6691171182WSep 18 · 09:30P. Gola2.8012541152M. Stepien1.391011117113WSep 18 · 08:30M. Stepien2.501111113D. Skvarskyi1.405580WSep 18 · 07:30D. Stapor2.00761131M. Stepien1.6611119113
S. Wloszek10
WSep 19 · 13:05S. Wloszek2.00111011113D. Stapor1.66212781LSep 19 · 11:05D. Skvarskyi1.4911112113S. Wloszek2.45611181LSep 19 · 09:05M. Ovcharenko1.5481412113S. Wloszek2.2511121011LSep 19 · 08:05S. Wloszek2.504490M. Stepien1.471111113LSep 19 · 07:05M. Galus1.4911118113S. Wloszek2.50441181WSep 17 · 13:40D. Skvarskyi2.1569111132S. Wloszek1.63111194113LSep 17 · 12:00S. Wloszek2.551251161M. Stepien1.46101113113WSep 17 · 10:00S. Radlo1.98101360S. Wloszek1.731215113LSep 17 · 08:00D. Skvarskyi1.4711117113S. Wloszek2.50591161WSep 17 · 07:00M. Galus1.474911111S. Wloszek2.5011117133
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