TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Lysakowski
Home
1.39
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161210––––
Szymon Radlo
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:36 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Lysakowski to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1181161210––––
H2H Michal Lysakowski 59–48 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 48 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (67%)
Lysakowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-48 in 107
Lysakowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysakowski 1719 vs Radlo 1532
Lysakowski
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysakowski 60% vs Radlo 40%
Lysakowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysakowski 80% vs Radlo 40%
Lysakowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysakowski +1 · Radlo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lysakowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysakowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysakowski 1.39 / Radlo 2.80
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lysakowski)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13168756
Lysakowski1.39
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 180 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it93% 115 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it75% 154 of 205
Radlo2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 168 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysakowski7wins
AwayRadlo3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLysakowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysakowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayRadlo50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S2Lysakowski5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S3Lysakowski6Radlo4n = 10Lysakowski took 6 of 10
S4Lysakowski6Radlo1n = 7Lysakowski took 6 of 7
S5Lysakowski2Radlo2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysakowskiRadloL − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.138.5+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysakowskiRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime663 / 1332 vs 382 / 76849.8%49.7%663 / 1332 vs 382 / 768Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysakowskiLysakowski 1.39/Radlo 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Lysakowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lysakowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 15:35M. Lysakowski4413911113S. Radlo311111451
WSep 17 · 12:40M. Lysakowski401512133S. Radlo341310110
LSep 17 · 09:00M. Lysakowski2991190S. Radlo351113113
WSep 15 · 13:40M. Lysakowski5910121111153S. Radlo51121475132
WSep 15 · 11:30M. Lysakowski4011117113S. Radlo27531181
LSep 13 · 19:35M. Lysakowski50711101392S. Radlo521171211113
WSep 12 · 08:35M. Lysakowski5813111211113S. Radlo541113101372
WSep 7 · 09:30M. Lysakowski4391111123S. Radlo331148101
WSep 4 · 12:30M. Lysakowski331111113S. Radlo186660
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Lysakowski4511771192S. Radlo50911118113
M. Lysakowski10
WSep 21 · 10:00S. Wloszek2.6014118121M. Lysakowski1.4416911143LSep 21 · 08:00D. Stapor2.25111212113M. Lysakowski1.579101451WSep 21 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.6811611113P. Gola2.05711971WSep 21 · 06:00B. Molka2.751113971M. Lysakowski1.4061511113LSep 20 · 23:45M. Lysakowski2.30611881M. Stepien1.5511711113WSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola1.957960M. Lysakowski1.761111113WSep 20 · 20:05M. Lysakowski1.341411113B. Molka3.1012770WSep 20 · 19:05M. Lysakowski1.391411113S. Wloszek2.5512790WSep 20 · 17:35M. Lysakowski1.90111012113M. Stepien1.808121091WSep 20 · 15:35M. Lysakowski1.4913911113S. Radlo2.451111451
S. Radlo10
LSep 21 · 12:30S. Radlo2.106680P. Gola1.661111113WSep 21 · 10:30S. Radlo1.951111113P. Gola1.746980LSep 21 · 08:30B. Molka1.831312113S. Radlo1.83111070LSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960LSep 21 · 05:30S. Wloszek2.1011611113S. Radlo1.66711661WSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola—4990S. Radlo—1111113WSep 20 · 22:05B. Molka1.669911131S. Radlo2.1011117153WSep 20 · 20:35S. Radlo1.6512512113S. Wloszek2.1010111091LSep 20 · 18:35M. Stepien1.481111113S. Radlo2.306580LSep 20 · 15:35M. Lysakowski1.4913911113S. Radlo2.451111451
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