TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dawid Stapor
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311119––––
Bartlomiej Molka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeDawid Stapor to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1191311119––––
H2H Dawid Stapor 47–29 Bartlomiej Molka Bartlomiej Molka has won 29 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:19What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Stapor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-29 in 76
Stapor
Correct
gap of 18 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stapor 1588 vs Molka 1524
Stapor
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stapor 80% vs Molka 40%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stapor 60% vs Molka 20%
Stapor
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stapor +4 · Molka +1
Stapor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stapor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stapor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.57 / Molka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stapor)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13168342
Stapor1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 163 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it99% 82 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it88% 124 of 141
Molka2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 165 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor5wins
AwayMolka5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor100%3 of 3
AwayMolka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor3Molka7n = 10Molka took 7 of 10
S2Stapor5Molka5n = 10split evenly
S3Stapor6Molka4n = 10Stapor took 6 of 10
S4Stapor4Molka3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporMolkaS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.5−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporMolkaBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 908 vs 537 / 117853.1%45.6%482 / 908 vs 537 / 1178Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporStapor 1.57/Molka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stapor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 08:00D. Stapor44111111113B. Molka33913381
LSep 15 · 11:00D. Stapor248880B. Molka331111113
WSep 11 · 10:00D. Stapor4211117133B. Molka387911111
LSep 8 · 08:00D. Stapor28531191B. Molka3511112113
LSep 6 · 18:35D. Stapor2051050B. Molka341112113
LSep 5 · 12:35D. Stapor399121171B. Molka4311147113
WSep 2 · 13:10D. Stapor351113113B. Molka2881190
WSep 2 · 11:00D. Stapor4681512113B. Molka4211131081
LAug 28 · 10:30D. Stapor3813113111B. Molka4515611133
WAug 23 · 23:35D. Stapor4071111113B. Molka34117971
D. Stapor10
WSep 21 · 08:00D. Stapor2.25111212113M. Lysakowski1.579101451WSep 21 · 06:30D. Stapor1.831111113S. Radlo1.868960WSep 21 · 05:00D. Stapor1.511021111113P. Gola2.4012114642WSep 19 · 14:05M. Galus1.83811491D. Stapor1.8911711113LSep 19 · 13:05S. Wloszek2.00111011113D. Stapor1.66212781WSep 19 · 11:35D. Stapor2.101111113M. Stepien1.606890LSep 19 · 09:35M. Galus1.801111113D. Stapor1.903690LSep 19 · 07:35M. Ovcharenko1.3911911113D. Stapor2.80611711WSep 19 · 06:35D. Skvarskyi1.4191460D. Stapor2.601116113LSep 18 · 12:40M. Galus—11119113D. Stapor—791181
B. Molka10
WSep 21 · 08:30B. Molka1.831312113S. Radlo1.83111070LSep 21 · 07:30S. Wloszek1.8511511113B. Molka1.85711681LSep 21 · 06:00B. Molka2.751113971M. Lysakowski1.4061511113WSep 20 · 22:45S. Wloszek—1512108152B. Molka—13101211173LSep 20 · 22:05B. Molka1.669911131S. Radlo2.1011117153LSep 20 · 20:05M. Lysakowski1.341411113B. Molka3.1012770LSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671LSep 20 · 17:05M. Stepien1.471111113B. Molka2.503690LSep 20 · 16:05B. Molka1.669880S. Wloszek2.051111113LSep 16 · 12:40B. Molka1.681188141S. Radlo2.0561111163
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