TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Bartlomiej Molka
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11912107111113118
Pawel Gola
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11912107111113118
H2H Bartlomiej Molka 72–112 Pawel Gola Bartlomiej Molka has won 72 of their 184 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Gola
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-112 in 184
Gola
Wrong
gap of 40 in 184, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molka 1512 vs Gola 1581
Gola
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molka 40% vs Gola 20%
Molka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molka 20% vs Gola 50%
Gola
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Molka -1 · Gola +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gola) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolka 2.05 / Gola 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Gola)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13168757
Molka2.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 165 of 375
Down 0–1, comes back21% 44 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 119
Gola1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 144 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 76 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it85% 106 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolka3wins
AwayGola7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolka40%2 of 5
AwayGola80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molka5Gola5n = 10split evenly
S2Molka4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S3Molka4Gola6n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S4Molka2Gola5n = 7Gola took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolkaGolaM − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.640.4−4.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolkaGolaBasisWin rate · lifetime537 / 1179 vs 586 / 119545.6%49%537 / 1179 vs 586 / 1195Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GolaMolka 2.05/Gola 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 18:05B. Molka32811671P. Gola4011711113
LSep 16 · 09:30B. Molka2714580P. Gola381611113
LSep 14 · 08:00B. Molka293511101P. Gola4111117123
LSep 13 · 22:05B. Molka29117831P. Gola4291111113
WSep 11 · 05:30B. Molka331111113P. Gola247890
WSep 2 · 08:00B. Molka4919118113P. Gola441791171
WAug 31 · 12:30B. Molka4281111123P. Gola391199101
LAug 31 · 08:00B. Molka55189117102P. Gola561611611123
LAug 28 · 12:00B. Molka2777130P. Gola371111153
LAug 26 · 08:30B. Molka331139101P. Gola4391111123
B. Molka10
LSep 21 · 09:30D. Stapor1.571113113B. Molka2.2091190WSep 21 · 08:30B. Molka1.831312113S. Radlo1.83111070LSep 21 · 07:30S. Wloszek1.8511511113B. Molka1.85711681LSep 21 · 06:00B. Molka2.751113971M. Lysakowski1.4061511113WSep 20 · 22:45S. Wloszek—1512108152B. Molka—13101211173LSep 20 · 22:05B. Molka1.669911131S. Radlo2.1011117153LSep 20 · 20:05M. Lysakowski1.341411113B. Molka3.1012770LSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671LSep 20 · 17:05M. Stepien1.471111113B. Molka2.503690LSep 20 · 16:05B. Molka1.669880S. Wloszek2.051111113
P. Gola10
LSep 21 · 10:30S. Radlo1.951111113P. Gola1.746980WSep 21 · 09:00S. Wloszek2.30111561392P. Gola1.558131115113LSep 21 · 07:00M. Lysakowski1.6811611113P. Gola2.05711971LSep 21 · 05:00D. Stapor1.511021111113P. Gola2.4012114642LSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola—4990S. Radlo—1111113LSep 20 · 21:05P. Gola1.957960M. Lysakowski1.761111113LSep 20 · 19:35P. Gola2.2071181182M. Stepien1.57119115113WSep 20 · 18:05P. Gola1.6011711113B. Molka2.10811671WSep 20 · 16:35P. Gola1.60111311113S. Radlo2.10615981WSep 20 · 15:05P. Gola1.391711113S. Wloszek2.8015880
Upcoming Matches
B. Molka
Nothing scheduled
P. Gola
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