TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Botka vs Jiri Tichy 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181191012811611
Jiri Tichy
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Tichy to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Botka above · Jiri Tichy below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Tichy at 58.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Botka 1–0 Jiri Tichy Jiri Tichy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tichy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Botka 1440 vs Tichy 1422
Botka
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 40% vs Tichy 20%
Botka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 40% vs Tichy 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka +1 · Tichy -4
Tichy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.25 / Tichy 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Tichy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180263
Botka2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 15 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Tichy1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 14 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBotka1wins
AwayTichy0wins
Botka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBotkaTichyB − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.033.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 109 vs 97 / 20243.1%48%47 / 109 vs 97 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyBotka 2.25/Tichy 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 24 · 17:30J. Botka3811115113J. Tichy33761191
J. Botka10
WSep 23 · 18:30J. Botka2.7591111113J. Juppa1.40117991LSep 23 · 17:30J. Botka1.83119781J. Marhol1.8391111113LSep 19 · 08:14M. Soukup1.3611811113J. Botka3.00711951LSep 19 · 07:15J. Botka2.3887111152M. Soukup1.53111193113WSep 19 · 06:15J. Botka3.2541111113Z. Kuksa1.33115481WSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441LSep 18 · 20:44J. Botka2.007811101J. Snr1.7311114123LSep 18 · 20:00J. Botka2.3811181692F. Kubos1.531181114113LSep 18 · 18:30J. Snr1.7311511113J. Botka2.00811871WSep 18 · 18:00L. Hendrych1.50810100J. Botka2.501112123
J. Tichy10
LSep 23 · 19:00J. Tichy1.8311850J. Marhol1.831311113LSep 23 · 18:00J. Tichy2.0091141162J. Juppa1.73116116113LSep 14 · 20:43J. Tichy3.753111371Z. Kuksa1.2511715113LSep 14 · 19:45Z. Kuksa1.361111113J. Tichy3.006660WSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143WSep 14 · 17:15T. Bertho1.735960J. Tichy2.001111113LSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113WSep 7 · 19:45V. Toman1.91118981J. Tichy1.8081111113LSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152
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