TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158397
Starts 14:10Scheduled
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 25–5Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
15 – 20
All 35 meetings · 42.9%
Last 10 · 2–8Same side
Patrik Sturma
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 26–4Last 10Lost last 2
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Sturma beat Jnr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.20 / Sturma 1.61
TT Cup · #13158397
Jnr2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back31% 8 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Sturma1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 63 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it51% 34 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr2wins
AwaySturma8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSturma leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr28.6%2 of 7
AwaySturma100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr7Sturma3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S2Jnr3Sturma7n = 10Sturma took 7 of 10
S3Jnr0Sturma10n = 10Sturma took 10 of 10
S4Jnr4Sturma4n = 8split evenly
S5Jnr1Sturma3n = 4Sturma took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrSturmaJ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.141.7−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 267 vs 424 / 87052.4%48.7%140 / 267 vs 424 / 870Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 10:10J. Jnr52119131182P. Sturma48611155113
LSep 18 · 14:10J. Jnr4611961192P. Sturma51911119113
LSep 18 · 13:10J. Jnr52111381192P. Sturma47315117113
WSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr50111189113P. Sturma4779111192
LSep 12 · 18:15J. Jnr32611781P. Sturma3811511113
LSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr34149561P. Sturma45121111113
WSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr4111118113P. Sturma29851151
LSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2412750P. Sturma361411113
LAug 15 · 15:45J. Jnr136430P. Sturma331111113
LJul 14 · 18:15J. Jnr371171361P. Sturma4361115113
J. Jnr10
WSep 19 · 11:40J. Sindler1.53117991J. Jnr2.3881111113WSep 19 · 11:10F. Mandrysz2.6381481262J. Jnr1.4411121110113LSep 19 · 10:10J. Jnr2.00119131182P. Sturma1.73611155113LSep 18 · 16:40J. Jnr1.4412115942D. Muller2.411061111113LSep 18 · 15:40P. Chvojka2.251111113J. Jnr1.578670WSep 18 · 15:10D. Muller2.385970J. Jnr1.531111113LSep 18 · 14:10J. Jnr1.9111961192P. Sturma1.80911119113LSep 18 · 13:10J. Jnr1.80111381192P. Sturma1.91315117113WSep 18 · 11:40J. Jnr1.671111113Z. Chovancik2.109870WSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561
P. Sturma10
LSep 19 · 12:10P. Sturma1.91119691F. Mandrysz1.8091111113LSep 19 · 10:40J. Sindler1.731511133P. Sturma2.00137110WSep 19 · 10:10J. Jnr2.00119131182P. Sturma1.73611155113LSep 18 · 17:10P. Chvojka1.6111611133P. Sturma2.046112111WSep 18 · 16:10P. Sturma1.7381111113D. Muller2.00112761LSep 18 · 14:40P. Chvojka1.571111113P. Sturma2.258620WSep 18 · 14:10J. Jnr1.9111961192P. Sturma1.80911119113WSep 18 · 13:10J. Jnr1.80111381192P. Sturma1.91315117113WSep 18 · 12:10L. Snr1.80117841P. Sturma1.9181111113LSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr2.25111189113P. Sturma1.5779111192
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