TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Korobko vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119113111310121012
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 102 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 55.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 7–5 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Korobko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Korobko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1442 vs Fashchevskyi 1506
Fashchevskyi
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 20% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 30% vs Fashchevskyi 50%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -1 · Fashchevskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Korobko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.61 / Fashchevskyi 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Korobko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13207987
Korobko1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 35 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Fashchevskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 94 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back27% 30 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko6wins
AwayFashchevskyi4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKorobko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko100%5 of 5
AwayFashchevskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Korobko6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S3Korobko5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Korobko6Fashchevskyi0n = 6Korobko took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.032.1+3.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 466 vs 305 / 61544.6%49.6%208 / 466 vs 305 / 615Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoKorobko 1.61/Fashchevskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.9%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko4291111113I. Fashchevskyi27113671
LSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko207670I. Fashchevskyi331111113
WSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko4211812113I. Fashchevskyi346111071
WSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko331111113I. Fashchevskyi207850
WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko4011117113I. Fashchevskyi31751181
LAug 29 · 21:30V. Korobko4581191162I. Fashchevskyi44118113113
LAug 24 · 23:00V. Korobko4551281192I. Fashchevskyi471110114113
WAug 21 · 01:15V. Korobko341112113I. Fashchevskyi2261060
LAug 2 · 02:45V. Korobko175840I. Fashchevskyi331111113
WJul 24 · 01:15V. Korobko4211911113I. Fashchevskyi30611671
V. Korobko10
LSep 28 · 20:30V. Korobko3.50113571D. Maltsev1.2871111113WSep 26 · 02:15S. Prus1.912970V. Korobko1.801111113LSep 26 · 01:15V. Korobko2.0055100D. Palii1.731111123LSep 26 · 00:15V. Korobko2.25118581M. Slozka1.5781111113LSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671LSep 21 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi1.671111113V. Korobko2.107890LSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113WSep 21 · 00:15V. Korobko2.1011114113I. Pytsko1.67481141LSep 20 · 22:45V. Korobko3.50154761D. Maltsev1.28131111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 28 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi1.83711871M. Potapov1.8311811113LSep 26 · 18:25D. Palii2.0051111993I. Fashchevskyi1.7311681182WSep 26 · 17:25M. Slozka1.731178131I. Fashchevskyi2.0061111153LSep 26 · 15:55O. Gazhula1.571111102I. Fashchevskyi2.2567111WSep 26 · 11:55S. Prus2.25351171I. Fashchevskyi1.5711118113WSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113LSep 26 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.00781361M. Slozka1.73111111113LSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980LSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671WSep 21 · 01:15V. Korobko1.537670I. Fashchevskyi2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Korobko
I. Fashchevskyi
Sep 28 · 23:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20D. Maltsev1.61—Sep 29 · 00:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00V. Moshovskyi1.73—Sep 29 · 02:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 29 · 12:05I. Fashchevskyi2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 29 · 13:35I. Fashchevskyi2.20D. Maltsev1.61—Sep 29 · 15:05I. Fashchevskyi2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 29 · 16:35I. Fashchevskyi2.50Y. Tebenko1.50—Sep 29 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10M. Slozka1.67—
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