TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Miloslav Ullman vs Tomas Liska 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181210118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Liska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiloslav Ullman above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Liska at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Ullman 33–35 Tomas Liska Miloslav Ullman has won 33 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Liska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-35 in 68
Liska
Wrong
gap of 2 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ullman 1612 vs Liska 1661
Liska
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ullman 60% vs Liska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ullman 50% vs Liska 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ullman +2 · Liska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Liska)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUllman 2.00 / Liska 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Liska)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13203314
Ullman2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Liska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 37 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it68% 27 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUllman4wins
AwayLiska6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLiska leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUllman80%4 of 5
AwayLiska100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ullman5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S2Ullman5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S3Ullman5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S4Ullman4Liska5n = 9Liska took 5 of 9
S5Ullman1Liska2n = 3Liska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUllmanLiskaU − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.9−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUllmanLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 394 vs 397 / 86246.7%46.1%184 / 394 vs 397 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiskaUllman 2.00/Liska 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Liska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ullman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 16 · 07:45M. Ullman381115123T. Liska32913100
LJun 15 · 08:18M. Ullman33911671T. Liska4111811113
LJun 15 · 07:15M. Ullman351211751T. Liska4214611113
WApr 28 · 05:45M. Ullman46115811113T. Liska4091111632
LApr 12 · 11:30M. Ullman29116391T. Liska3961111113
LApr 11 · 09:45M. Ullman4791212772T. Liska5311101011113
WApr 5 · 08:00M. Ullman3811511113T. Liska33611791
LMar 18 · 09:43M. Ullman32681171T. Liska4011117113
WMar 18 · 08:45M. Ullman4111811113T. Liska31711671
LMar 11 · 07:00M. Ullman4691171182T. Liska48116119113
M. Ullman10
WSep 27 · 18:15M. Ullman1.9111911173L. Veigl1.807118151WSep 27 · 17:15M. Ullman1.83111159113R. Pisa1.8377111182LSep 15 · 08:33J. Senk2.00119911113M. Ullman1.7391111882WSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672LSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113LSep 15 · 05:30M. Ullman1.6711511782J. Senk2.10411811113LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682
T. Liska10
WSep 27 · 18:45T. Liska2.101111114163R. Pisa1.67813711142LSep 27 · 17:45T. Liska1.83126991L. Veigl1.83101111113WSep 25 · 12:24L. Rulc1.67711881T. Liska2.1011611113LSep 25 · 11:15T. Liska2.20712111162L. Rulc1.611110137113WSep 25 · 10:15T. Liska2.101141110113R. Pisa1.6771191292WSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131LSep 22 · 12:48M. Makara1.809111212123T. Liska1.911171410102LSep 22 · 11:45T. Liska2.008101191M. Makara1.7311124113WSep 22 · 10:15L. Adam1.73861151T. Liska2.0011116113WSep 22 · 09:45L. Rulc1.736980T. Liska2.001111113
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