TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Miloslav Ullman vs Lukas Veigl 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1179111181715––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Veigl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiloslav Ullman above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 17-15
Point 89 set 4, 17-15 — our read held Lukas Veigl at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Ullman 15–22 Lukas Veigl Miloslav Ullman has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Veigl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-22 in 37
Veigl
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ullman 1595 vs Veigl 1760
Veigl
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ullman 40% vs Veigl 80%
Veigl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ullman 50% vs Veigl 70%
Veigl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ullman +1 · Veigl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Veigl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veigl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUllman 1.91 / Veigl 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Veigl)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13202775
Ullman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Veigl1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 63 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 42 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUllman4wins
AwayVeigl6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVeigl leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUllman50%3 of 6
AwayVeigl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ullman6Veigl4n = 10Ullman took 6 of 10
S2Ullman5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S3Ullman4Veigl6n = 10Veigl took 6 of 10
S4Ullman5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S5Ullman1Veigl3n = 4Veigl took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUllmanVeiglU − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.3−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUllmanVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 393 vs 276 / 53446.6%51.7%183 / 393 vs 276 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeiglUllman 1.91/Veigl 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Veigl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ullman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 13 · 19:15M. Ullman33811861L. Veigl4011711113
WJun 12 · 17:30M. Ullman3851111113L. Veigl30119281
WApr 5 · 05:30M. Ullman49119117113L. Veigl4371191152
LMar 8 · 19:00M. Ullman4397111152L. Veigl48111178113
LMar 2 · 08:45M. Ullman4111117392L. Veigl48781111113
LFeb 28 · 10:45M. Ullman45115101182L. Veigl44811122113
WFeb 23 · 08:45M. Ullman43111110113L. Veigl37981281
WFeb 16 · 08:15M. Ullman4011117113L. Veigl34981161
LFeb 13 · 21:22M. Ullman37981191L. Veigl3711114113
LFeb 13 · 18:15M. Ullman31117851L. Veigl4291111113
M. Ullman10
WSep 27 · 17:15M. Ullman1.83111159113R. Pisa1.8377111182LSep 15 · 08:33J. Senk2.00119911113M. Ullman1.7391111882WSep 15 · 07:30M. Ullman2.0015111011113L. Rulc1.7317812672LSep 15 · 06:30M. Ullman1.837111361R. Pisa1.8311915113LSep 15 · 05:30M. Ullman1.6711511782J. Senk2.10411811113LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113
L. Veigl10
WSep 27 · 17:45T. Liska1.83126991L. Veigl1.83101111113WSep 24 · 16:55L. Veigl1.91111011123M. Kocvara1.804126101LSep 24 · 15:45M. Kocvara1.8011129113L. Veigl1.917101171WSep 24 · 14:45O. Mezera2.25911101142L. Veigl1.57119125113WSep 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil2.631171111102L. Veigl1.44411138123WSep 22 · 16:19O. Mezera2.38814711112L. Veigl1.531112118133LSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113WSep 22 · 14:15L. Veigl1.571011611173J. Senk2.25122115152LSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123WSep 20 · 16:54L. Veigl1.73121397113T. Liska2.001011111182
Upcoming Matches
M. Ullman
Nothing scheduled
L. Veigl
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