TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Mishchenko vs Yevhenii Kryvorotko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141187111012411
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Yevhenii Kryvorotko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 81.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 25–76 Yevhenii Kryvorotko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 25 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-76 in 101
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 51 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1575 vs Kryvorotko 1834
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 258 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Kryvorotko 60%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Kryvorotko 70%
Kryvorotko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko +1 · Kryvorotko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvorotko form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 3.75 / Kryvorotko 1.25
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13196572
Mishchenko3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 87 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Kryvorotko1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 125 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko1wins
AwayKryvorotko9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko0%0 of 5
AwayKryvorotko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko5Kryvorotko5n = 10split evenly
S2Mishchenko4Kryvorotko6n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S3Mishchenko2Kryvorotko8n = 10Kryvorotko took 8 of 10
S4Mishchenko1Kryvorotko6n = 7Kryvorotko took 6 of 7
S5Mishchenko0Kryvorotko3n = 3Kryvorotko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoKryvorotkoM − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.440.9−7.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoKryvorotkoBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1054 vs 319 / 50546.6%63.2%491 / 1054 vs 319 / 505Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoMishchenko 3.75/Kryvorotko 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 03:25O. Mishchenko43111171042Y. Kryvorotko46481112113
LSep 25 · 19:55O. Mishchenko48111191252Y. Kryvorotko49581114113
LSep 19 · 23:55O. Mishchenko49119111172Y. Kryvorotko49711713113
LSep 18 · 20:25O. Mishchenko23116331Y. Kryvorotko4291111113
LSep 14 · 03:25O. Mishchenko28118271Y. Kryvorotko4291111113
WSep 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko4691111153Y. Kryvorotko361157131
LSep 4 · 15:25O. Mishchenko175840Y. Kryvorotko331111113
LAug 30 · 01:25O. Mishchenko32711771Y. Kryvorotko3911611113
LAug 28 · 15:25O. Mishchenko30515100Y. Kryvorotko401117123
LAug 22 · 23:25O. Mishchenko184950Y. Kryvorotko331111113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 27 · 01:55O. Mishchenko2.2591111113O. Dukhovenko1.57117881LSep 27 · 00:25O. Mishchenko2.5061170A. Chepurnyi1.501113113LSep 26 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.75111031172O. Gavryshko1.40812113113LSep 26 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.10118881I. Demchenko1.6781111113LSep 25 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22581114113O. Mishchenko4.00111191252LSep 25 · 18:55I. Demchenko1.577111210113O. Mishchenko2.25114101222WSep 25 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111012111O. Mishchenko2.1081214133LSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861LSep 25 · 13:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113O. Mishchenko2.256860WSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 27 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611111113A. Chepurnyi2.209540WSep 27 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.36131110113I. Demchenko3.001171291LSep 26 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.831116431O. Dukhovenko1.8391811113LSep 26 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.73115791O. Gavryshko2.0061111113WSep 25 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22581114113O. Mishchenko4.00111191252WSep 25 · 17:55A. Chepurnyi2.20115641Y. Kryvorotko1.6181111113WSep 25 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4071111113I. Demchenko2.75111441WSep 25 · 15:55O. Dukhovenko1.83811781Y. Kryvorotko1.8311611113LSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko1.836811111O. Gavryshko1.8311118133WSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.