TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Mishchenko vs Artem Chepurnyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:36 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 62.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 87–121 Artem Chepurnyi Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 87 of their 208 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
87-121 in 208
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 34 in 208, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1566 vs Chepurnyi 1738
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Chepurnyi 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Chepurnyi 50%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -4 · Chepurnyi +1
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chepurnyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chepurnyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.50 / Chepurnyi 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13196178
Mishchenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 87 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Chepurnyi1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 156 of 240
Up 2–0, closes it93% 78 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it83% 121 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko1wins
AwayChepurnyi9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChepurnyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayChepurnyi100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko3Chepurnyi7n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S2Mishchenko2Chepurnyi8n = 10Chepurnyi took 8 of 10
S3Mishchenko3Chepurnyi7n = 10Chepurnyi took 7 of 10
S4Mishchenko1Chepurnyi5n = 6Chepurnyi took 5 of 6
S5Mishchenko1Chepurnyi2n = 3Chepurnyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiM − CBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.840.1−7.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1054 vs 540 / 92646.6%58.3%491 / 1054 vs 540 / 926Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiMishchenko 2.50/Chepurnyi 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 13:25O. Mishchenko206860A. Chepurnyi331111113
LSep 21 · 00:25O. Mishchenko371181171A. Chepurnyi4271113113
LSep 20 · 03:55O. Mishchenko4181111742A. Chepurnyi41115311113
LSep 18 · 13:55O. Mishchenko50912111172A. Chepurnyi48111466113
LSep 14 · 02:25O. Mishchenko421181581A. Chepurnyi48131113113
LSep 13 · 03:55O. Mishchenko156720A. Chepurnyi331111113
LSep 11 · 15:25O. Mishchenko27114391A. Chepurnyi4181111113
LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko27111060A. Chepurnyi361312113
LSep 4 · 18:55O. Mishchenko229850A. Chepurnyi331111113
WAug 29 · 21:55O. Mishchenko47111294113A. Chepurnyi46810111162
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 26 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.75111031172O. Gavryshko1.40812113113LSep 26 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.10118881I. Demchenko1.6781111113LSep 25 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22581114113O. Mishchenko4.00111191252LSep 25 · 18:55I. Demchenko1.577111210113O. Mishchenko2.25114101222WSep 25 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111012111O. Mishchenko2.1081214133LSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861LSep 25 · 13:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113O. Mishchenko2.256860WSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690WSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171LSep 21 · 00:25O. Mishchenko2.631181171A. Chepurnyi1.4471113113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 26 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.4491112113I. Demchenko2.631171031LSep 26 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411912143A. Chepurnyi2.6381110121LSep 25 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi2.505750O. Dukhovenko1.501111113LSep 25 · 17:55A. Chepurnyi2.20115641Y. Kryvorotko1.6181111113LSep 25 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi1.837970O. Gavryshko1.831111113LSep 25 · 14:55A. Chepurnyi1.447511121I. Demchenko2.6311113143WSep 25 · 13:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113O. Mishchenko2.256860WSep 23 · 03:25A. Chepurnyi1.611111113P. Plakushchyi2.208790WSep 23 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi1.36611111123O. Kovalchuk3.00111196102WSep 21 · 00:25O. Mishchenko2.631181171A. Chepurnyi1.4471113113
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