TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Mishchenko vs Oleksandr Dukhovenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117118118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 62.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 88–91 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 88 of their 179 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dukhovenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-91 in 179
Dukhovenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 179, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1558 vs Dukhovenko 1866
Dukhovenko
Wrong
both rated, 308 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 0% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 30% vs Dukhovenko 70%
Dukhovenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -5 · Dukhovenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.25 / Dukhovenko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13197535
Mishchenko2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 87 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back13% 18 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Dukhovenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 216 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it97% 137 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it90% 170 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko6wins
AwayDukhovenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMishchenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko100%3 of 3
AwayDukhovenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko3Dukhovenko7n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Mishchenko7Dukhovenko3n = 10Mishchenko took 7 of 10
S3Mishchenko5Dukhovenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Mishchenko6Dukhovenko3n = 9Mishchenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoDukhovenkoM − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.6−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 1054 vs 541 / 85346.5%63.4%490 / 1054 vs 541 / 853Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoMishchenko 2.25/Dukhovenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 17:25O. Mishchenko4781214133O. Dukhovenko44111012111
LSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko32681171O. Dukhovenko3911116113
WSep 20 · 01:55O. Mishchenko4211119113O. Dukhovenko36891181
WSep 18 · 14:55O. Mishchenko4211119113O. Dukhovenko34771191
LSep 13 · 23:55O. Mishchenko185850O. Dukhovenko331111113
LSep 13 · 01:55O. Mishchenko3551111442O. Dukhovenko50119811113
WSep 11 · 13:25O. Mishchenko44111111113O. Dukhovenko37139781
WSep 9 · 00:25O. Mishchenko4713912133O. Dukhovenko43111110111
LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko33611881O. Dukhovenko4111811113
WSep 4 · 13:25O. Mishchenko44611511113O. Dukhovenko3911511482
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 27 · 00:25O. Mishchenko2.5061170A. Chepurnyi1.501113113LSep 26 · 22:55O. Mishchenko2.75111031172O. Gavryshko1.40812113113LSep 26 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.10118881I. Demchenko1.6781111113LSep 25 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22581114113O. Mishchenko4.00111191252LSep 25 · 18:55I. Demchenko1.577111210113O. Mishchenko2.25114101222WSep 25 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111012111O. Mishchenko2.1081214133LSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861LSep 25 · 13:25A. Chepurnyi1.571111113O. Mishchenko2.256860WSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690WSep 21 · 01:55O. Mishchenko1.9111116113P. Plakushchyi1.80891171
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 27 · 00:55O. Dukhovenko1.5711138113O. Gavryshko2.253111141WSep 26 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.831116431O. Dukhovenko1.8391811113WSep 26 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411912143A. Chepurnyi2.6381110121WSep 25 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi2.505750O. Dukhovenko1.501111113WSep 25 · 18:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311147113O. Gavryshko2.381121151LSep 25 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111012111O. Mishchenko2.1081214133LSep 25 · 15:55O. Dukhovenko1.83811781Y. Kryvorotko1.8311611113LSep 25 · 13:55O. Dukhovenko1.22521171I. Demchenko4.0011116113WSep 21 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi7.007780O. Dukhovenko1.081111113WSep 21 · 02:55M. Smyrnov3.7513112101O. Dukhovenko1.25111311123
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