TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Robert Szymik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6119111181171113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Robert Szymik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 98 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Vincenec 6–8 Robert Szymik Oliver Vincenec has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vincenec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Szymik
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1371 vs Szymik 1364
Vincenec
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 80% vs Szymik 60%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 70% vs Szymik 50%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Szymik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vincenec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.80 / Szymik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13194738
Vincenec1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 132 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it86% 59 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it74% 97 of 131
Szymik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec4wins
AwaySzymik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec100%4 of 4
AwaySzymik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec6Szymik4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec3Szymik3n = 6split evenly
S5Vincenec1Szymik2n = 3Szymik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecSzymikV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.4−4.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime691 / 1506 vs 610 / 94445.9%64.6%691 / 1506 vs 610 / 944Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.80/Szymik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 23:45O. Vincenec48691111112R. Szymik50111187133
LJul 22 · 01:10O. Vincenec145540R. Szymik331111113
WJul 19 · 00:45O. Vincenec351111133R. Szymik2999110
LJul 18 · 22:20O. Vincenec32711771R. Szymik4011711113
WJun 27 · 03:05O. Vincenec361111143R. Szymik2897120
WJun 26 · 21:05O. Vincenec3911116113R. Szymik30591151
LMay 31 · 04:20O. Vincenec3943111292R. Szymik521111910113
LMay 30 · 18:45O. Vincenec314111061R. Szymik4311912113
WMar 28 · 01:20O. Vincenec48111169113R. Szymik4697111182
LMar 27 · 21:20O. Vincenec145450R. Szymik331111113
O. Vincenec10
WSep 26 · 01:00O. Vincenec1.83111311123O. Sokolowski1.8313117101WSep 25 · 22:10O. Vincenec2.251111113K. Juszczyk1.578780WSep 25 · 21:00O. Vincenec1.8361111113L. Oracz1.83117581LSep 25 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.8311125163O. Vincenec1.8351011141WSep 25 · 19:20O. Vincenec1.83911119113L. Oracz1.8311671152WSep 25 · 18:10W. Jozala2.10125881O. Vincenec1.67101111113LSep 25 · 16:55M. Baron1.91811119113O. Vincenec1.8011741192LSep 25 · 15:25K. Juszczyk1.801711113O. Vincenec1.9115260WSep 23 · 17:05M. Rus2.801171011102O. Vincenec1.37611127123WSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec2.15821111113M. Baron1.6011118782
R. Szymik10
WSep 26 · 00:35K. Juszczyk1.83611461R. Szymik1.8311911113WSep 25 · 22:55R. Szymik1.4011116113M. Baron2.75861151LSep 25 · 21:45R. Szymik1.80111190O. Sokolowski1.911313113WSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470LSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143WSep 20 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4491114123J. Nowak2.2911612101WSep 20 · 00:45D. Dytko2.111011691R. Szymik1.6612511113WSep 19 · 23:55R. Szymik1.191111113J. Michalski3.508880LSep 19 · 22:20R. Szymik1.73911471D. Dytko1.9811311113LSep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik1.501111191D. Fira2.4041113113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
R. Szymik
Sep 26 · 02:10R. Szymik1.83L. Oracz1.83—Sep 26 · 03:50R. Szymik1.91M. Lach1.80—Sep 26 · 04:30R. Szymik1.73R. Piechnik2.00—Sep 26 · 06:05R. Szymik1.80J. Jesiek1.91—Sep 26 · 06:55R. Szymik2.50P. Polok1.50—Sep 26 · 07:45R. Szymik3.40A. Cichocki1.30—Sep 26 · 18:20R. Szymik—L. Bernacki——Sep 26 · 19:30R. Szymik—H. Tkaczyk——Sep 26 · 20:20R. Szymik—R. Wiza——Sep 26 · 21:05R. Szymik—D. Fira——
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