TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Jozala vs Lukasz Oracz 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119511611119
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:16 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWaldemar Jozala above · Lukasz Oracz below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Lukasz Oracz at 67.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Waldemar Jozala 5–5 Lukasz Oracz Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jozala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1209 vs Oracz 1405
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 60% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 40% vs Oracz 80%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala -1 · Oracz +4
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 1.73 / Oracz 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oracz)+7.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13194701
Jozala1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite43% won 6 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Oracz2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 122 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJozala5wins
AwayOracz5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozala83.3%5 of 6
AwayOracz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala6Oracz4n = 10Jozala took 6 of 10
S2Jozala6Oracz4n = 10Jozala took 6 of 10
S3Jozala1Oracz9n = 10Oracz took 9 of 10
S4Jozala1Oracz7n = 8Oracz took 7 of 8
S5Jozala5Oracz1n = 6Jozala took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJozalaOraczJ − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.7−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 307 vs 843 / 152935.8%55.1%110 / 307 vs 843 / 1529Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczJozala 1.73/Oracz 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jozala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 17 · 08:45W. Jozala46111176113L. Oracz4478111172
LMar 27 · 12:30W. Jozala103430L. Oracz331111113
LMar 27 · 08:10W. Jozala38111133102L. Oracz39141111123
WMar 12 · 02:10W. Jozala471141011113L. Oracz4081112452
LJan 25 · 14:30W. Jozala36811891L. Oracz3611311113
LJan 25 · 08:30W. Jozala199370L. Oracz331111113
WDec 31 · 20:35W. Jozala53111178163L. Oracz46551111142
LJun 4 · 11:55W. Jozala33513781L. Oracz44111111113
WJun 4 · 05:55W. Jozala5411101111113L. Oracz5091291372
WMay 2 · 12:20W. Jozala531211108123L. Oracz521091211102
W. Jozala10
LSep 25 · 15:50M. Baron1.571111113W. Jozala2.256380WSep 19 · 13:55P. Mecik1.806580W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 19 · 13:05P. Polok1.20119114102W. Jozala4.33411611123WSep 19 · 12:15W. Jozala2.2591111113W. Buczynski1.57113671LSep 19 · 10:35W. Jozala4.33135861W. Wojtaszczyk1.20111111113WSep 19 · 09:50P. Adamus1.20101161162W. Jozala4.33129119113LSep 17 · 20:00W. Jozala4.255640M. Koczyba1.161111113LSep 17 · 18:45W. Jozala3.308340W. Pytlas1.251111113LSep 17 · 17:35W. Jozala4.1041111692M. Tkocz1.17118911113LSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560
L. Oracz10
WSep 25 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501091171L. Oracz1.5012117113WSep 24 · 14:20M. Jozefiak2.25811120L. Oracz1.571113143WSep 24 · 13:30W. Urban1.73761381L. Oracz2.00111111113WSep 24 · 11:25K. Schaniel2.251161161L. Oracz1.5713114113LSep 24 · 10:35O. Jadach1.571111113L. Oracz2.257980WSep 24 · 09:00I. Szymanski4.50121111972L. Oracz1.171021311113WSep 24 · 08:10M. Jozefiak—9770L. Oracz—1111113WSep 24 · 07:20W. Urban1.9112913121L. Oracz1.80101115143LSep 24 · 05:15K. Schaniel2.201111107113L. Oracz1.6169121142WSep 24 · 04:30I. Szymanski4.334980L. Oracz1.201111113
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