TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Veigl vs Martin Kocvara 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Lukas Veigl
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11410121161210––
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
How it is goingLukas Veigl above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 76 set 4, 12-10
76 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Veigl 0–3 Martin Kocvara Lukas Veigl has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kocvara beat Veigl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeigl 1.91 / Kocvara 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kocvara)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13190449
Veigl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 39 of 90
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Kocvara1.80
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 30 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVeigl0wins
AwayKocvara3wins
Kocvara leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeigln = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayKocvara100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veigl0Kocvara3n = 3Kocvara took 3 of 3
S2Veigl0Kocvara3n = 3Kocvara took 3 of 3
S3Veigl2Kocvara1n = 3Veigl took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricVeiglKocvaraV − KBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match30.339.7−9.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeiglKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 533 vs 94 / 15951.6%59.1%275 / 533 vs 94 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.639.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraVeigl 1.91/Kocvara 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 24 · 15:45L. Veigl357101171M. Kocvara4311129113
LSep 10 · 06:30L. Veigl37881291M. Kocvara43111110113
LJul 8 · 15:45L. Veigl197660M. Kocvara331111113
L. Veigl10
LSep 24 · 15:45M. Kocvara1.8011129113L. Veigl1.917101171WSep 24 · 14:45O. Mezera2.25911101142L. Veigl1.57119125113WSep 24 · 13:15M. Vyskocil2.631171111102L. Veigl1.44411138123WSep 22 · 16:19O. Mezera2.38814711112L. Veigl1.531112118133LSep 22 · 15:15L. Veigl1.5311117972O. Mezera2.38681111113WSep 22 · 14:15L. Veigl1.571011611173J. Senk2.25122115152LSep 22 · 13:15L. Veigl1.531011911102M. Myler2.38127119123WSep 20 · 16:54L. Veigl1.73121397113T. Liska2.001011111182LSep 20 · 15:45T. Liska1.80117111363L. Veigl1.9141191552WSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123
M. Kocvara10
WSep 24 · 15:45M. Kocvara1.8011129113L. Veigl1.917101171WSep 24 · 14:15M. Vyskocil1.801111681M. Kocvara1.9113411113WSep 24 · 13:45O. Mezera2.256111191M. Kocvara1.5711136113WSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041WSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:45L. Svoboda1.808920M. Kocvara1.911111113WSep 18 · 08:58M. Kocvara1.5011511113P. Fencl2.50511651WSep 18 · 07:45M. Makara2.2071113992M. Kocvara1.611191111113WSep 18 · 06:45R. Pisa1.7312411982M. Kocvara2.001011611113
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