TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tadeas Zika vs Jakub Pilch 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119117––––
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:01 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 58.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 35–48 Jakub Pilch Tadeas Zika has won 35 of their 83 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zika beat Pilch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Pilch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-48 in 83
Pilch
Wrong
gap of 13 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1792 vs Pilch 1800
Pilch
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 40% vs Pilch 80%
Pilch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 50% vs Pilch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika +1 · Pilch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.87 / Pilch 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pilch)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183607
Zika1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 307 of 663
Down 0–1, comes back28% 92 of 333
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 171
Pilch1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 36 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika6wins
AwayPilch4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika83.3%5 of 6
AwayPilch75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Pilch4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika2Pilch8n = 10Pilch took 8 of 10
S3Zika8Pilch2n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S4Zika5Pilch3n = 8Zika took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaPilchZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.835.9+2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime805 / 1748 vs 227 / 44946.1%50.6%805 / 1748 vs 227 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchZika 1.87/Pilch 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 10:30T. Zika43111011113J. Pilch32612861
LSep 21 · 17:30T. Zika4989121192J. Pilch471111104113
LSep 21 · 16:00T. Zika2697100J. Pilch341111123
WSep 18 · 13:00T. Zika3961111113J. Pilch36119881
LSep 18 · 11:00T. Zika27117721J. Pilch4181111113
WJun 17 · 09:28T. Zika361114113J. Pilch2361250
WJun 17 · 06:30T. Zika4111811113J. Pilch29711651
WJun 12 · 12:30T. Zika47118116113J. Pilch4241181182
WMay 1 · 11:30T. Zika4111811113J. Pilch30811291
LApr 30 · 14:30T. Zika397131181J. Pilch4511158113
T. Zika10
WSep 23 · 12:30M. Navedla2.008950T. Zika1.731111113LSep 23 · 11:30T. Zika1.831110791P. Wawrosz1.8361211113WSep 23 · 10:30J. Pilch1.80612861T. Zika1.91111011113LSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113WSep 23 · 06:30R. Polasek2.00861171T. Zika1.7311116113WSep 22 · 12:59T. Zika1.7311115113M. Vavrecka2.00961191WSep 22 · 12:30M. Vavrecka2.0031111762T. Zika1.73114211113LSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161
J. Pilch10
WSep 23 · 12:00P. Wawrosz1.8389100J. Pilch1.831111123WSep 23 · 11:00M. Navedla2.1061191182J. Pilch1.67117119113LSep 23 · 10:30J. Pilch1.80612861T. Zika1.91111011113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100WSep 21 · 15:30D. Ondryas2.10101080J. Pilch1.661212113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Pilch1.73117791M. Grundel2.0081111113WSep 20 · 17:00J. Pilch1.911111113M. Grundel1.804990LSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862LSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042
Upcoming Matches
T. Zika
J. Pilch
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.