TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Pilch vs Tadeas Zika 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210811611––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 48–34 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 34 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pilch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-34 in 82
Pilch
Wrong
gap of 14 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1789 vs Zika 1781
Pilch
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 80% vs Zika 60%
Pilch
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 70% vs Zika 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch +3 · Zika -2
Pilch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.80 / Zika 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pilch)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176947
Pilch1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 36 of 53
Zika1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 307 of 663
Down 0–1, comes back28% 92 of 333
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayZika6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch75%3 of 4
AwayZika83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Pilch7Zika3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch2Zika8n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S4Pilch3Zika4n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.8−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 454 vs 803 / 174550.7%46%230 / 454 vs 803 / 1745Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPilch 1.80/Zika 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch471111104113T. Zika4989121192
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch341111123T. Zika2697100
LSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch36119881T. Zika3961111113
WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch4181111113T. Zika27117721
LJun 17 · 09:28J. Pilch2361250T. Zika361114113
LJun 17 · 06:30J. Pilch29711651T. Zika4111811113
LJun 12 · 12:30J. Pilch4241181182T. Zika47118116113
LMay 1 · 11:30J. Pilch30811291T. Zika4111811113
WApr 30 · 14:30J. Pilch4511158113T. Zika397131181
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Pilch228860T. Zika331111113
J. Pilch10
WSep 23 · 11:00M. Navedla2.1061191182J. Pilch1.67117119113WSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100WSep 21 · 15:30D. Ondryas2.10101080J. Pilch1.661212113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Pilch1.73117791M. Grundel2.0081111113WSep 20 · 17:00J. Pilch1.911111113M. Grundel1.804990LSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862LSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042WSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch2.10511511113M. Grundel1.6711711782WSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113
T. Zika10
LSep 23 · 08:30O. Paril1.711311117113T. Zika2.00117131192LSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113WSep 23 · 06:30R. Polasek2.00861171T. Zika1.7311116113WSep 22 · 12:59T. Zika1.7311115113M. Vavrecka2.00961191WSep 22 · 12:30M. Vavrecka2.0031111762T. Zika1.73114211113LSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161WSep 22 · 09:30M. Vavrecka2.10711391T. Zika1.6511711113LSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192LSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100
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