TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Paril vs Tadeas Zika 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Ondrej Paril
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111171113711119
Tadeas Zika
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Paril above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 104 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 56.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Paril 88–76 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 76 of their 164 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Paril
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-76 in 164
Paril
Correct
gap of 12 in 164, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paril 1840 vs Zika 1790
Paril
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paril 40% vs Zika 60%
Zika
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paril 30% vs Zika 60%
Zika
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paril -1 · Zika -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paril) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParil 1.71 / Zika 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Paril)+0.1pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13180374
Paril1.71
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 166 of 294
Up 2–0, closes it92% 79 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 126 of 163
Zika2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 307 of 663
Down 0–1, comes back28% 92 of 333
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 171
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParil4wins
AwayZika6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParil33.3%1 of 3
AwayZika57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paril3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Paril5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S3Paril4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Paril4Zika4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricParilZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.039.7−3.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParilZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime503 / 968 vs 803 / 174452%46%503 / 968 vs 803 / 1744Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParilParil 1.71/Zika 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Paril · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:30O. Paril371111781T. Zika4313811113
WSep 4 · 06:30O. Paril471111311113T. Zika4813911782
LSep 1 · 14:30O. Paril23113631T. Zika4181111113
LSep 1 · 13:28O. Paril4411511982T. Zika45711511113
LSep 1 · 12:30O. Paril249780T. Zika331111113
WAug 31 · 20:00O. Paril45111112113T. Zika316131021
LAug 27 · 11:00O. Paril216870T. Zika331111113
WAug 26 · 20:00O. Paril47111111143T. Zika401378121
WAug 26 · 08:58O. Paril3741111113T. Zika37119981
LAug 26 · 08:00O. Paril354137111T. Zika46111111133
O. Paril10
WSep 23 · 09:05R. Revay2.07111011592O. Paril1.67412311113LSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113WSep 23 · 06:00R. Revay2.001111121072O. Paril1.711361012113WSep 21 · 16:59M. Biolek1.7373100O. Paril2.001111123LSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek1.731113113O. Paril2.0061160LSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113LSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772LSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590
T. Zika10
LSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113WSep 23 · 06:30R. Polasek2.00861171T. Zika1.7311116113WSep 22 · 12:59T. Zika1.7311115113M. Vavrecka2.00961191WSep 22 · 12:30M. Vavrecka2.0031111762T. Zika1.73114211113LSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161WSep 22 · 09:30M. Vavrecka2.10711391T. Zika1.6511711113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Navedla1.911110561T. Zika1.8081211113WSep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.8311115113R. Polasek1.83691171LSep 22 · 06:30M. Vavrecka2.10111189113T. Zika1.6769111172
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