Tomas Krcil vs Ladislav Vosyka 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 44 - B4 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Tomas Krcil

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1113911611––––

Ladislav Vosyka

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Tomas Krcil to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Ladislav Vosyka below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 61 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Tomas Krcil at 61.7%

61 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Krcil 7–5 Ladislav Vosyka Ladislav Vosyka has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Krcil

Krcil 1.73/Vosyka 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.7%

Krcil · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Vosyka won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:04

61.7%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

clears by 3.8pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Krcil

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-5 in 12

Krcil

Wrong

gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Krcil 1567 vs Vosyka 1501

Krcil

Wrong

both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Krcil 60% vs Vosyka 20%

Krcil

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Krcil 80% vs Vosyka 40%

Krcil

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Krcil +2 · Vosyka -3

Vosyka

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Krcil) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vosyka: form 20%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKrcil 1.727 / Vosyka 2.00

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Krcil)+3.8pp

Same-day rematch · 1h before this match

Krcil beat Vosyka 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKrcil6wins

AwayVosyka4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKrcil leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKrcil100%4 of 4

AwayVosyka66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Krcil4Vosyka6n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10

S2Krcil2Vosyka8n = 10Vosyka took 8 of 10

S3Krcil7Vosyka3n = 10Krcil took 7 of 10

S4Krcil4Vosyka3n = 7Krcil took 4 of 7

S5Krcil3Vosyka1n = 4Krcil took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricKrcilVosykaK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.3−1.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKrcilVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 309 vs 265 / 50953.4%52.1%165 / 309 vs 265 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match

TT Cup · #13286831

Krcil1.73

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite58% won 50 of 86

Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49

Vosyka2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog45% won 29 of 65

Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Tomas Krcil vs Ladislav Vosyka 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Tomas Krcil vs Ladislav Vosyka 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.