Pavel Chvatal vs Tomas Krcil 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 44 - B4 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Pavel Chvatal

Home

1.53

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1198117111412911

Tomas Krcil

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched: 63.6% is still 63.6%

Graded at full time

Pavel Chvatal to win

63.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingPavel Chvatal above · Tomas Krcil below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 14-12

Set 5 · 9-11

Point 103 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Pavel Chvatal at 63.6%

103 points played in total.

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Chvatal

Chvatal 1.53/Krcil 2.38

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

63.6%

Chvatal · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Krcil won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:04

63.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 1.6pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Chvatal

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Chvatal 1650 vs Krcil 1544

Chvatal

Wrong

both rated, 106 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chvatal 60% vs Krcil 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chvatal 80% vs Krcil 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Chvatal +2 · Krcil -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Chvatal) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krcil: form 60%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChvatal 1.533 / Krcil 2.375

Signal prob.64% / 36%

Edge (Chvatal)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricChvatalKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 283 vs 163 / 30755.5%53.1%157 / 283 vs 163 / 307Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match

TT Cup · #13283551

Chvatal1.53

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite59% won 51 of 86

Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52

Krcil2.38

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog55% won 24 of 44

Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11

Pavel Chvatal vs Tomas Krcil 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pavel Chvatal vs Tomas Krcil 2-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.