TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Milan Flesar vs Tomas Krcil 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1127117111113––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Flesar above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 73 set 4, 11-13
73 points played in total.
H2H Milan Flesar 10–7 Tomas Krcil Tomas Krcil has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Flesar beat Krcil 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 1.833 / Krcil 1.833
TT Cup · #13256515
Flesar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krcil1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFlesar6wins
AwayKrcil4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFlesar leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlesar71.4%5 of 7
AwayKrcil66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flesar7Krcil3n = 10Flesar took 7 of 10
S2Flesar4Krcil6n = 10Krcil took 6 of 10
S3Flesar5Krcil5n = 10split evenly
S4Flesar4Krcil4n = 8split evenly
S5Flesar3Krcil2n = 5Flesar took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFlesarKrcilF − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.9+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 472 vs 162 / 30552.3%53.1%247 / 472 vs 162 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FlesarFlesar 1.83/Krcil 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 20:05M. Flesar538111110133T. Krcil48115912112
WSep 10 · 21:10M. Flesar48118711113T. Krcil3731111482
WSep 10 · 18:35M. Flesar401118113T. Krcil2521670
WAug 26 · 18:05M. Flesar4111135123T. Krcil4191111101
WAug 3 · 16:35M. Flesar3711411113T. Krcil35711891
WJul 2 · 10:35M. Flesar471131111113T. Krcil3531131352
LJun 8 · 15:05M. Flesar195770T. Krcil331111113
LJun 1 · 17:10M. Flesar4211511962T. Krcil46511811113
LJun 1 · 15:05M. Flesar351181061T. Krcil3841112113
LMay 25 · 18:35M. Flesar48711101462T. Krcil511151212113
M. Flesar10
WOct 6 · 20:05T. Krcil1.91115912112M. Flesar1.808111110133WOct 6 · 19:35J. Vidourek2.204970M. Flesar1.611111113WOct 6 · 18:35M. Flesar1.6711124113J. Kabelka2.105101191WOct 6 · 17:28M. Flesar1.10111311113J. Manhal Jr6.501311751WOct 6 · 16:35M. Flesar1.911111113J. Manhal Jr1.806550LOct 6 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.4011177113M. Flesar2.755151141LOct 6 · 14:35R. Neterda1.50111511113M. Flesar2.50817571LOct 5 · 21:05M. Flesar2.0067111362D. Hons1.731111511113WOct 5 · 20:05S. Kafka1.5761111492M. Flesar2.25119711113LOct 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.61111111113M. Flesar2.20135671
T. Krcil10
LOct 6 · 20:05T. Krcil1.91115912112M. Flesar1.808111110133WOct 6 · 19:05T. Krcil1.44111110113J. Kabelka2.63481281WOct 6 · 18:05T. Krcil1.83811118123J. Vidourek1.83117711102WOct 1 · 17:54T. Krcil1.8391411113L. Vana1.831112591WOct 1 · 16:35T. Krcil2.00111177143L. Vana1.73561111122WOct 1 · 15:05J. Martin1.6711491162T. Krcil2.10811112113WOct 1 · 14:35O. Pros1.8342110T. Krcil1.831111133WSep 29 · 21:45J. Martin1.57811116152T. Krcil2.25118811173LSep 29 · 20:05J. Martin1.53127115113T. Krcil2.38101171182WSep 29 · 19:35M. Cyrus2.751151161T. Krcil1.4013119113
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