TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Vosyka vs Jan Kabelka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 44 - B4 · Prague
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:30 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 62.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 8–6 Jan Kabelka Jan Kabelka has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:3062.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1545 vs Kabelka 1414
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Kabelka 40%
Vosyka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Kabelka 30%
Vosyka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Kabelka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.533 / Kabelka 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vosyka)-3.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13268339
Vosyka1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 101 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 68 of 92
Kabelka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back28% 20 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka5wins
AwayKabelka5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka60%3 of 5
AwayKabelka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S3Vosyka5Kabelka5n = 10split evenly
S4Vosyka6Kabelka2n = 8Vosyka took 6 of 8
S5Vosyka2Kabelka4n = 6Kabelka took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaKabelkaV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.642.4+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 500 vs 147 / 30252.2%48.7%261 / 500 vs 147 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.53/Kabelka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kabelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 19:05L. Vosyka4312681162J. Kabelka511011118113
WSep 28 · 21:45L. Vosyka55111599113J. Kabelka49913111152
WSep 28 · 19:05L. Vosyka4071111113J. Kabelka34119591
LSep 22 · 20:05L. Vosyka4151151192J. Kabelka46119114113
LSep 20 · 18:35L. Vosyka50713911102J. Kabelka511111116123
WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka341211113J. Kabelka1910720
WSep 1 · 19:35L. Vosyka4211811123J. Kabelka399119101
WAug 25 · 20:05L. Vosyka49781112113J. Kabelka49111181092
LAug 20 · 20:35L. Vosyka215970J. Kabelka331111113
LAug 16 · 21:14L. Vosyka51119131082J. Kabelka538111112113
L. Vosyka10
WOct 9 · 21:05T. Motacek2.103680L. Vosyka1.671111113LOct 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.2511101112113L. Vosyka1.5741291492WOct 9 · 18:35T. Motacek2.00741181L. Vosyka1.7311116113LOct 7 · 21:33L. Vosyka1.91108100D. Hons1.801211123WOct 7 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.9113111111113D. Hons1.8015413782WOct 7 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.8371112113J. Martin1.831191031WOct 7 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.5011117113M. Chmelicek2.50371141LOct 5 · 17:38L. Vosyka1.53481171J. Manhal Jr2.3811115113WOct 5 · 16:05J. Manhal Jr2.38911671L. Vosyka1.5311611113WOct 5 · 15:35J. Vranca—211871L. Vosyka—11811113
J. Kabelka10
LOct 9 · 21:35M. Flesar1.5311116123J. Kabelka2.387511101LOct 9 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.10811711T. Motacek1.6711711113LOct 9 · 18:05M. Flesar1.53111186113J. Kabelka2.3838111142WOct 6 · 21:08J. Kabelka1.91511121113J. Vidourek1.80116101172WOct 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.25741111113J. Vidourek1.5711118992LOct 6 · 19:05T. Krcil1.44111110113J. Kabelka2.63481281LOct 6 · 18:35M. Flesar1.6711124113J. Kabelka2.105101191LOct 4 · 21:10J. Martin1.3311912113J. Kabelka3.259111071LOct 4 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.103670J. Martin1.671111113WOct 4 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.3012681162J. Kabelka3.401011118113
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