Ladislav Vosyka vs Tomas Trnka 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupHall 44 - B4 · Prague

Played Oct 12Finished

Ladislav Vosyka

Home

3.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

15177111012––––

Tomas Trnka

Away

1.36

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%

Graded at full time

Tomas Trnka to win

71.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Tomas Trnka below

Set 1 · 15-17

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Point 72 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Tomas Trnka at 71.2%

72 points played in total.

H2H Ladislav Vosyka 10–8 Tomas Trnka Tomas Trnka has won 8 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Trnka

Vosyka 3.00/Trnka 1.36

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

71.2%

Trnka · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Trnka won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:30

71.2%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

short by 2.2pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Trnka

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

10-8 in 18

Vosyka

Wrong

gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vosyka 1518 vs Trnka 1683

Trnka

Correct

both rated, 165 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vosyka 60% vs Trnka 100%

Trnka

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vosyka 50% vs Trnka 90%

Trnka

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vosyka -1 · Trnka +6

Trnka

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Trnka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Trnka: form 100%, the price implies 73%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVosyka 3.00 / Trnka 1.363

Signal prob.29% / 71%

Edge (Trnka)-2.2pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVosyka5wins

AwayTrnka5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVosyka71.4%5 of 7

AwayTrnka100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vosyka7Trnka3n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10

S2Vosyka5Trnka5n = 10split evenly

S3Vosyka5Trnka5n = 10split evenly

S4Vosyka5Trnka1n = 6Vosyka took 5 of 6

S5Vosyka0Trnka3n = 3Trnka took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricVosykaTrnkaV − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.934.1+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVosykaTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 507 vs 167 / 31352.3%53.4%265 / 507 vs 167 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match

TT Cup · #13283720

Vosyka3.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog45% won 29 of 65

Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Trnka1.36

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite70% won 76 of 108

Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it85% 57 of 67

Ladislav Vosyka vs Tomas Trnka 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Ladislav Vosyka vs Tomas Trnka 0-3 · TT Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.