Lukas Svoboda vs Michal Makara 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Lukas Svoboda

Home

1.44

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

611114112119––

Michal Makara

Away

2.63

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Michal Makara below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 11-2

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 65 set 4, 11-9

65 points played in total.

H2H Lukas Svoboda 10–5 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 5 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Svoboda

Svoboda 1.44/Makara 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Svoboda won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Makara: form 60%, the price implies 38%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSvoboda 1.444 / Makara 2.625

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Svoboda beat Makara 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSvoboda7wins

AwayMakara3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSvoboda83.3%5 of 6

AwayMakara50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Svoboda6Makara4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10

S2Svoboda7Makara3n = 10Svoboda took 7 of 10

S3Svoboda6Makara4n = 10Svoboda took 6 of 10

S4Svoboda1Makara4n = 5Makara took 4 of 5

S5Svoboda3Makara0n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSvobodaMakaraS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.832.5+4.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSvobodaMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 140 vs 511 / 106552.1%48%73 / 140 vs 511 / 1065Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.3per match

Setka Cup · #13285743

Svoboda1.44

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite59% won 36 of 61

Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36

Makara2.63

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog44% won 149 of 336

Down 0–1, comes back25% 46 of 183

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89

Lukas Svoboda vs Michal Makara 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Lukas Svoboda vs Michal Makara 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.