Pavel Moulis vs Lukas Krutina 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Pavel Moulis

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 7

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 7

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

8111161210119––

Lukas Krutina

Away

2.25

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Lukas Krutina below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 78 set 4, 11-9

78 points played in total.

H2H Pavel Moulis 7–4 Lukas Krutina Lukas Krutina has won 4 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Moulis

Moulis 1.57/Krutina 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–1

Moulis won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Moulis: form 100%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoulis 1.571 / Krutina 2.25

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Moulis beat Krutina 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMoulis6wins

AwayKrutina4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMoulis leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMoulis100%6 of 6

AwayKrutina100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Moulis6Krutina4n = 10Moulis took 6 of 10

S2Moulis6Krutina4n = 10Moulis took 6 of 10

S3Moulis3Krutina7n = 10Krutina took 7 of 10

S4Moulis5Krutina2n = 7Moulis took 5 of 7

S5Moulis2Krutina2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricMoulisKrutinaM − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.636.9+3.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMoulisKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 436 vs 123 / 24044.3%51.3%193 / 436 vs 123 / 240Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.5per match

Setka Cup · #13283747

Moulis1.57

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 7

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite54% won 35 of 65

Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20

Up 1–0, closes it76% 29 of 38

Krutina2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog54% won 31 of 57

Down 0–1, comes back33% 11 of 33

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Pavel Moulis vs Lukas Krutina 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Pavel Moulis vs Lukas Krutina 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.