Martin Holub vs Patrik Muller 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Martin Holub

Home

1.40

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

115118119––––

Patrik Muller

Away

2.75

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMartin Holub above · Patrik Muller below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 55 set 3, 11-9

55 points played in total.

H2H Martin Holub 16–9 Patrik Muller Patrik Muller has won 9 of their 25 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Holub

Holub 1.40/Muller 2.75

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–0

Holub won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Holub: form 60%, the price implies 71%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsHolub 1.40 / Muller 2.75

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Muller beat Holub 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeHolub7wins

AwayMuller3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeHolub57.1%4 of 7

AwayMuller0%0 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Holub7Muller3n = 10Holub took 7 of 10

S2Holub6Muller4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10

S3Holub7Muller3n = 10Holub took 7 of 10

S4Holub7Muller2n = 9Holub took 7 of 9

S5Holub0Muller3n = 3Muller took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home660%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricHolubMullerH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.035.6+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricHolubMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 645 vs 76 / 17754%42.9%348 / 645 vs 76 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.9per match

Setka Cup · #13283531

Holub1.40

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite56% won 93 of 166

Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45

Up 1–0, closes it69% 63 of 91

Muller2.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 23 of 57

Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19

Martin Holub vs Patrik Muller 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Martin Holub vs Patrik Muller 3-0 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.