TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Patrik Muller vs Martin Holub 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711911––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPatrik Muller above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Muller 8–14 Martin Holub Patrik Muller has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Muller beat Holub 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 2.25 / Holub 1.571
Setka Cup · #13248592
Muller2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Holub1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 93 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it69% 63 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuller5wins
AwayHolub5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller50%2 of 4
AwayHolub50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Muller6Holub4n = 10Muller took 6 of 10
S3Muller4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Muller3Holub6n = 9Holub took 6 of 9
S5Muller3Holub0n = 3Muller took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMullerHolubM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.9−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 174 vs 351 / 65043.7%54%76 / 174 vs 351 / 650Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HolubMuller 2.25/Holub 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 10:30P. Muller45414115113M. Holub48111291152
WSep 21 · 05:30P. Muller51911711133M. Holub46118115112
LSep 18 · 06:30P. Muller321174101M. Holub4391111123
LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller341110761M. Holub4281211113
LJun 26 · 09:30P. Muller28311681M. Holub4111811113
LJun 13 · 13:15P. Muller331081141M. Holub4212118113
LJun 3 · 10:00P. Muller31591161M. Holub4211119113
WApr 28 · 12:43P. Muller3711114113M. Holub33971161
WApr 28 · 11:45P. Muller331111113M. Holub257990
WApr 23 · 10:15P. Muller528111111113M. Holub4711813692
P. Muller10
LOct 5 · 12:00P. Muller2.201011161P. Moulis1.6112117113WOct 5 · 10:30M. Holub1.44111291152P. Muller2.63414115113LOct 5 · 10:00J. Jnr1.4061111113P. Muller2.75114871LSep 29 · 08:44J. Krejcik1.531111113P. Muller2.386990LSep 29 · 07:30A. Akopyan1.7381111123P. Muller2.001179101WSep 29 · 07:00P. Muller3.2512119113J. Krejcik1.331081181LSep 29 · 06:00P. Muller1.91105121192J. Vrnak1.801211104113LSep 24 · 12:43V. Kilian2.001111113P. Muller1.739640LSep 24 · 11:30T. Holomek1.801311113P. Muller1.9111790LSep 24 · 11:00P. Muller1.618540A. Akopyan2.201111113
M. Holub10
LOct 5 · 11:30M. Holub2.0061111692J. Jnr1.73119811113LOct 5 · 10:30M. Holub1.44111291152P. Muller2.63414115113WOct 5 · 09:30M. Holub2.3851111113P. Moulis1.53115951LOct 4 · 16:36M. Cmil1.651181111123M. Holub2.10511139102LOct 4 · 15:30P. Moulis1.53951111113M. Holub2.3811117732LOct 4 · 15:00M. Holub1.3611791192V. Kucala3.00211115113LOct 4 · 14:00M. Holub1.83111181032M. Cmil1.83551112113LOct 3 · 20:28J. Jnr1.731114113M. Holub2.0051280WOct 3 · 19:30M. Holub1.83711114113D. Sabuka1.8311981172LOct 3 · 18:30M. Holub2.20713771P. Moulis1.61111111113
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