Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Serhii Kiilo

Home

3.40

At publish

Lost last 8

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 8

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

811811911––––

Serhii Kushnirenko

Away

1.30

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:25 and never touched: 76.3% is still 76.3%

Graded at full time

Serhii Kushnirenko to win

76.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingSerhii Kiilo above · Serhii Kushnirenko below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 58 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Serhii Kushnirenko at 76.3%

58 points played in total.

H2H Serhii Kiilo 14–32 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kiilo has won 14 of their 46 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kushnirenko

Kiilo 3.40/Kushnirenko 1.30

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

76.3%

Kushnirenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kushnirenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:25

76.3%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30

short by 0.6pp

76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.30 (72%)

Kushnirenko

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

14-32 in 46

Kushnirenko

Correct

gap of 18 in 46, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kiilo 1661 vs Kushnirenko 1894

Kushnirenko

Correct

both rated, 232 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kiilo 0% vs Kushnirenko 60%

Kushnirenko

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kiilo 10% vs Kushnirenko 40%

Kushnirenko

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kiilo -8 · Kushnirenko -1

Kiilo

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 76% · Strong (leans Kushnirenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kushnirenko: form 60%, the price implies 77%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKiilo 3.40 / Kushnirenko 1.30

Signal prob.24% / 76%

Edge (Kushnirenko)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKiilo2wins

AwayKushnirenko8wins

2 of 10 to a deciderKushnirenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKiilo66.7%2 of 3

AwayKushnirenko100%7 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kiilo3Kushnirenko7n = 10Kushnirenko took 7 of 10

S2Kiilo5Kushnirenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Kiilo4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10

S4Kiilo1Kushnirenko7n = 8Kushnirenko took 7 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away660%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKiiloKushnirenkoKiilo − KushnirenkoBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.141.8−4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKiiloKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 361 vs 319 / 77726%41.1%94 / 361 vs 319 / 777Avg sets wonper match1.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.235.7per match

Setka Cup · #13281406

Kiilo3.40

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 8

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog20% won 30 of 152

Down 0–1, comes back13% 15 of 113

Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70

Kushnirenko1.30

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite81% won 33 of 41

Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it90% 27 of 30

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Serhii Kiilo vs Serhii Kushnirenko 0-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.