Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleh Volynets 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Anatolii Kovalenko

Home

2.38

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1191181012116––

Oleh Volynets

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:02 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%

Graded at full time

Oleh Volynets to win

61.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleh Volynets below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 11-6

Point 78 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 61.2%

78 points played in total.

H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 6–7 Oleh Volynets Anatolii Kovalenko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Volynets

Kovalenko 2.38/Volynets 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.2%

Volynets · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kovalenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 07:02

61.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 4.0pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Volynets

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

6-7 in 13

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kovalenko 1431 vs Volynets 1438

Volynets

Wrong

both rated, 7 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kovalenko 40% vs Volynets 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kovalenko 50% vs Volynets 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Kovalenko +2 · Volynets +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Volynets: form 40%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKovalenko 2.375 / Volynets 1.533

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Volynets)-4.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKovalenko4wins

AwayVolynets6wins

1 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKovalenko80%4 of 5

AwayVolynets100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kovalenko5Volynets5n = 10split evenly

S2Kovalenko4Volynets6n = 10Volynets took 6 of 10

S3Kovalenko2Volynets8n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10

S4Kovalenko3Volynets0n = 3Kovalenko took 3 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away550%

These 10 meetings

MetricKovalenkoVolynetsK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.434.4−3.0per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKovalenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 583 vs 328 / 61652.5%53.3%306 / 583 vs 328 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match

Setka Cup · #13281069

Kovalenko2.38

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog41% won 39 of 95

Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 56

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32

Volynets1.53

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite50% won 74 of 148

Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it63% 45 of 71

Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleh Volynets 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleh Volynets 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.