Maksym Stetsenko vs Oleh Volynets 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 8Finished

Maksym Stetsenko

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

118911711911––

Oleh Volynets

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:44 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleh Volynets to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Oleh Volynets below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 77 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 54.0%

77 points played in total.

The pickContradict

Sealed 07:44

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Volynets

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Stetsenko 1505 vs Volynets 1449

Stetsenko

Wrong

both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stetsenko 100% vs Volynets 60%

Stetsenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stetsenko 80% vs Volynets 40%

Stetsenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stetsenko +5 · Volynets -1

Stetsenko

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stetsenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStetsenko 2.00 / Volynets 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Stetsenko)-4.0pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13261240

Stetsenko2.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog44% won 91 of 209

Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 121

Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58

Volynets1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite51% won 75 of 148

Up 2–0, closes it80% 31 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it64% 47 of 73

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStetsenkoVolynetsBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 867 vs 326 / 61552.6%53%456 / 867 vs 326 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Stetsenko

Stetsenko 2.00/Volynets 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Volynets · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Volynets won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Stetsenko10