TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Oleksandr Leonenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched: 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Oleksandr Leonenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 62.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 1–0 Oleksandr Leonenko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5362.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 7.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1466 vs Leonenko 1508
Leonenko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 60% vs Leonenko 80%
Leonenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 70% vs Leonenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets -1 · Leonenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Leonenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.444 / Leonenko 2.625
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Volynets)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245107
Volynets1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 74 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it63% 44 of 70
Leonenko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 73 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back23% 20 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVolynets1wins
AwayLeonenko0wins
Volynets leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVolynetsLeonenkoV − LBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.032.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsLeonenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 612 vs 421 / 82453.1%51.1%325 / 612 vs 421 / 824Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsVolynets 1.44/Leonenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.3%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 17 · 08:35O. Volynets4211119113O. Leonenko32881151
O. Volynets10
LOct 5 · 10:30O. Volynets2.109580V. Kolesnykov1.671111113LOct 5 · 07:30O. Volynets1.40121360A. Kovalenko2.751415113WOct 5 · 06:00O. Volynets2.101111113S. Solomko1.679930WOct 5 · 04:30O. Volynets1.5711411123E. Populovskyi2.254117101WSep 30 · 11:00O. Shyshman2.50119581O. Volynets1.5071111113LSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960WSep 30 · 08:30E. Populovskyi2.25111131252O. Volynets1.57861114113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Kovalenko2.637670O. Volynets1.441111113WSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113WSep 29 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2.631111451O. Volynets1.4471311113
O. Leonenko10
WOct 5 · 08:00O. Leonenko2.20511116153S. Solomko1.61116911132LOct 5 · 07:00V. Kolesnykov1.368111011113O. Leonenko3.0011412992WOct 5 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.73111312113A. Kovalenko2.007151061WOct 3 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.2015511113S. Solomko1.611311681WOct 3 · 16:30O. Osadchyi1.731110891O. Leonenko2.0061211113WOct 3 · 15:30O. Leonenko2.00111132103E. Populovskyi1.7347111162LOct 3 · 14:30A. Martyniuk1.5711511123O. Leonenko2.258119101WOct 3 · 13:00O. Leonenko1.731111118113A. Kovalenko2.0081391172LOct 1 · 10:03A. Martyniuk1.6713712113O. Leonenko2.1011111081LOct 1 · 09:35O. Leonenko2.10721211S. Solomko1.67111110113
Upcoming Matches
O. Volynets
Nothing scheduled
O. Leonenko
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