Maksym Khomenko vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Maksym Khomenko

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

118911111711––

Vladyslav Kovalchuk

Away

1.91

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Maksym Khomenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Vladyslav Kovalchuk below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 1-11

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 69 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Maksym Khomenko at 54.0%

69 points played in total.

H2H Maksym Khomenko 32–31 Vladyslav Kovalchuk Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 31 of their 63 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Khomenko

Khomenko 1.80/Kovalchuk 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Khomenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kovalchuk won

The pickContradict

Sealed 07:03

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Khomenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

32-31 in 63

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Khomenko 1560 vs Kovalchuk 1548

Khomenko

Wrong

both rated, 12 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Khomenko 40% vs Kovalchuk 60%

Kovalchuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Khomenko 20% vs Kovalchuk 50%

Kovalchuk

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Khomenko -3 · Kovalchuk +1

Khomenko

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Khomenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Khomenko: form 40%, the price implies 56%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKhomenko 1.80 / Kovalchuk 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Khomenko)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKhomenko6wins

AwayKovalchuk4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKhomenko66.7%4 of 6

AwayKovalchuk50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Khomenko6Kovalchuk4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10

S2Khomenko5Kovalchuk5n = 10split evenly

S3Khomenko4Kovalchuk5n = 9Kovalchuk took 5 of 9

S4Khomenko4Kovalchuk4n = 8split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKhomenkoKovalchukKhomenko − KovalchukBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.4−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKhomenkoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 831 vs 374 / 77653%48.2%440 / 831 vs 374 / 776Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.5per match

Setka Cup · #13281001

Khomenko1.80

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite66% won 85 of 129

Up 2–0, closes it100% 52 of 52

Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72

Kovalchuk1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog44% won 94 of 216

Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 111

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53

Maksym Khomenko vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Maksym Khomenko vs Vladyslav Kovalchuk 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.