Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Yaroslav Tebenko 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Vladyslav Kovalchuk

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11451112101210––

Yaroslav Tebenko

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:27 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Yaroslav Tebenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Yaroslav Tebenko below

Set 1 · 11-4

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 75 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Yaroslav Tebenko at 54.0%

75 points played in total.

H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 41–39 Yaroslav Tebenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 39 of their 80 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Tebenko

Kovalchuk 1.83/Tebenko 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Tebenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kovalchuk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:27

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Tebenko

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

41-39 in 80

Kovalchuk

Correct

gap of 2 in 80, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kovalchuk 1534 vs Tebenko 1570

Tebenko

Wrong

both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kovalchuk 60% vs Tebenko 40%

Kovalchuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kovalchuk 50% vs Tebenko 30%

Kovalchuk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kovalchuk -1 · Tebenko -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Tebenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Tebenko: form 40%, the price implies 55%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKovalchuk 1.833 / Tebenko 1.833

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Tebenko)-0.6pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKovalchuk5wins

AwayTebenko5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKovalchuk57.1%4 of 7

AwayTebenko66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kovalchuk7Tebenko3n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10

S2Kovalchuk6Tebenko4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10

S3Kovalchuk4Tebenko6n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10

S4Kovalchuk3Tebenko4n = 7Tebenko took 4 of 7

S5Kovalchuk1Tebenko2n = 3Tebenko took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKovalchukTebenkoK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.536.7+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKovalchukTebenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 780 vs 430 / 87148.2%49.4%376 / 780 vs 430 / 871Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match

Setka Cup · #13281040

Kovalchuk1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Tebenko1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Yaroslav Tebenko 3-1 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vladyslav Kovalchuk vs Yaroslav Tebenko 3-1 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.