Yurii Urezchenko vs Roman Sveshnykov 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 11Finished

Yurii Urezchenko

Home

3.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

4111151214118115

Roman Sveshnykov

Away

1.29

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Roman Sveshnykov below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 92 set 5, 11-5

92 points played in total.

H2H Yurii Urezchenko 6–3 Roman Sveshnykov Roman Sveshnykov has won 3 of their 9 meetings.

Last 9 · 6–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sveshnykov

Urezchenko 3.50/Sveshnykov 1.28

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

3–2

Urezchenko won

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sveshnykov: form 60%, the price implies 78%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsUrezchenko 3.50 / Sveshnykov 1.285

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Sveshnykov beat Urezchenko 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeUrezchenko6wins

AwaySveshnykov3wins

2 of 9 to a deciderUrezchenko leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeUrezchenko100%4 of 4

AwaySveshnykov60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Urezchenko4Sveshnykov5n = 9Sveshnykov took 5 of 9

S2Urezchenko7Sveshnykov2n = 9Urezchenko took 7 of 9

S3Urezchenko5Sveshnykov4n = 9Urezchenko took 5 of 9

S4Urezchenko3Sveshnykov3n = 6split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home222%

3–1Four sets, home222%

3–2Decider, home222%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away333%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricUrezchenkoSveshnykovU − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.135.9+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricUrezchenkoSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 453 vs 133 / 30944.8%43%203 / 453 vs 133 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.8per match

Setka Cup · #13280828

Urezchenko3.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog30% won 40 of 134

Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 95

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61

Sveshnykov1.28

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite74% won 42 of 57

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36

Yurii Urezchenko vs Roman Sveshnykov 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Yurii Urezchenko vs Roman Sveshnykov 3-2 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.